Recent meteorological forecasts from models including GFS and ICON indicate a high of 22–23°C in Munich on September 12 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds, supporting the market's strong consensus on those outcomes. This aligns with a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, yielding conditions slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 20°C for the date. Minimal temperature advection and low humidity favor modest daytime warming without extremes, though minor model spread in peak timing could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance through September 11 will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日慕尼黑的最高溫度?
23°C 60%
22°C 28%
24°C 9%
20°C 5%
19°C或以下
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
28%
23°C
60%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
23°C 60%
22°C 28%
24°C 9%
20°C 5%
19°C或以下
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
28%
23°C
60%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts from models including GFS and ICON indicate a high of 22–23°C in Munich on September 12 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds, supporting the market's strong consensus on those outcomes. This aligns with a stable high-pressure pattern suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, yielding conditions slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 20°C for the date. Minimal temperature advection and low humidity favor modest daytime warming without extremes, though minor model spread in peak timing could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance through September 11 will further refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions