Recent official forecasts from models such as GFS and ICON indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Munich on September 11 under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure that limits daytime heating. This aligns with the current cool, overcast pattern observed on September 10 and typical mid-September climatology, where average highs hover around 20°C. Trader sentiment favoring 20°C or higher at 78% combined probability likely reflects model uncertainty ranges, potential for brief clearing that could add 1–2°C, and historical variability in daily maxima. Updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
9月11日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
21°C或以上 44%
20°C 35%
19°C 19%
17°C 2%
最新
$21,108 交易量
最新
$21,108 交易量
2026-09-11
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
19%
20°C
35%
21°C或以上
44%
21°C或以上 44%
20°C 35%
19°C 19%
17°C 2%
最新
$21,108 交易量
最新
$21,108 交易量
2026-09-11
11°C或以下
$1,145 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,251 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,156 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,734 交易量
<1%
15°C
$862 交易量
<1%
16°C
$327 交易量
<1%
17°C
$655 交易量
2%
18°C
$2,506 交易量
2%
19°C
$3,813 交易量
19%
20°C
$2,338 交易量
35%
21°C或以上
$5,321 交易量
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from models such as GFS and ICON indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Munich on September 11 under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure that limits daytime heating. This aligns with the current cool, overcast pattern observed on September 10 and typical mid-September climatology, where average highs hover around 20°C. Trader sentiment favoring 20°C or higher at 78% combined probability likely reflects model uncertainty ranges, potential for brief clearing that could add 1–2°C, and historical variability in daily maxima. Updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$21,108結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from models such as GFS and ICON indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Munich on September 11 under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure that limits daytime heating. This aligns with the current cool, overcast pattern observed on September 10 and typical mid-September climatology, where average highs hover around 20°C. Trader sentiment favoring 20°C or higher at 78% combined probability likely reflects model uncertainty ranges, potential for brief clearing that could add 1–2°C, and historical variability in daily maxima. Updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21,108結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from models such as GFS and ICON indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Munich on September 11 under persistent cloud cover, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure that limits daytime heating. This aligns with the current cool, overcast pattern observed on September 10 and typical mid-September climatology, where average highs hover around 20°C. Trader sentiment favoring 20°C or higher at 78% combined probability likely reflects model uncertainty ranges, potential for brief clearing that could add 1–2°C, and historical variability in daily maxima. Updated model runs and observational data from the German Weather Service will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions