Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a maximum temperature near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation chances. High pressure building to around 1019 hPa supports stable conditions after earlier rain, limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 average high of 19.7°C for the date and explains the near-even market split between 19°C and 20°C outcomes, with traders weighting subtle model variations in cloud thickness and wind speed that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月10日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
19°C 41%
20°C 39%
18°C 13%
22°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
13%
19°C
41%
20°C
39%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
4%
24°C或以上
1%
19°C 41%
20°C 39%
18°C 13%
22°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
$100 交易量
2%
15°C
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$15 交易量
3%
17°C
$0 交易量
5%
18°C
$12 交易量
13%
19°C
$100 交易量
41%
20°C
$68 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
6%
22°C
$0 交易量
6%
23°C
$3 交易量
4%
24°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a maximum temperature near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation chances. High pressure building to around 1019 hPa supports stable conditions after earlier rain, limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 average high of 19.7°C for the date and explains the near-even market split between 19°C and 20°C outcomes, with traders weighting subtle model variations in cloud thickness and wind speed that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$298結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a maximum temperature near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation chances. High pressure building to around 1019 hPa supports stable conditions after earlier rain, limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 average high of 19.7°C for the date and explains the near-even market split between 19°C and 20°C outcomes, with traders weighting subtle model variations in cloud thickness and wind speed that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$298結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a maximum temperature near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation chances. High pressure building to around 1019 hPa supports stable conditions after earlier rain, limiting strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 average high of 19.7°C for the date and explains the near-even market split between 19°C and 20°C outcomes, with traders weighting subtle model variations in cloud thickness and wind speed that could nudge the peak by 1°C. Updated runs closer to the date will clarify any late adjustments from steering patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions