Forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of September 6, project a daily high near 29–30°C in Taipei on September 8 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and low precipitation chances. These conditions reflect an early transition toward the northeast monsoon, which limits afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and modest advection of cooler maritime air while maintaining high humidity that suppresses extreme diurnal ranges. Market-implied odds favoring 31–32°C capture remaining uncertainty in local microclimates, exact timing of any clearing, and potential revisions in subsequent model updates before resolution. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, but current steering patterns and pressure gradients support the cooler consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日臺北氣溫最高?
32°C 38%
31°C 29%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
29%
32°C
33%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C或以上
3%
32°C 38%
31°C 29%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
29%
32°C
33%
33°C
16%
34°C
3%
35°C或以上
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs as of September 6, project a daily high near 29–30°C in Taipei on September 8 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and low precipitation chances. These conditions reflect an early transition toward the northeast monsoon, which limits afternoon heating through increased cloud cover and modest advection of cooler maritime air while maintaining high humidity that suppresses extreme diurnal ranges. Market-implied odds favoring 31–32°C capture remaining uncertainty in local microclimates, exact timing of any clearing, and potential revisions in subsequent model updates before resolution. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, but current steering patterns and pressure gradients support the cooler consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions