Forecast uncertainty in minimum overnight temperatures, driven by slight variations in numerical weather prediction models and local radiative cooling under predominantly clear skies, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12–16°C for Ankara’s September 1 low. With high-pressure dominance and light northeasterly winds limiting mixing, surface temperatures are expected to fall rapidly after sunset as longwave radiation escapes, consistent with early-September climatology of 14–16°C lows amid daytime highs near 28–30°C. Recent stable conditions have produced minimal cloud cover or moisture advection, keeping probabilities balanced while underscoring sensitivity to any last-minute shifts in humidity or wind.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日安卡拉的最低溫度？
9月1日安卡拉的最低溫度？
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
12°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
10°C或以下
23%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
2%
19°C
18%
20°C或以上
<1%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
12°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
23%
11°C
$0 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$0 交易量
27%
14°C
$0 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
25%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C
$140 交易量
18%
20°C或以上
$210 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in minimum overnight temperatures, driven by slight variations in numerical weather prediction models and local radiative cooling under predominantly clear skies, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12–16°C for Ankara’s September 1 low. With high-pressure dominance and light northeasterly winds limiting mixing, surface temperatures are expected to fall rapidly after sunset as longwave radiation escapes, consistent with early-September climatology of 14–16°C lows amid daytime highs near 28–30°C. Recent stable conditions have produced minimal cloud cover or moisture advection, keeping probabilities balanced while underscoring sensitivity to any last-minute shifts in humidity or wind.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$350結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in minimum overnight temperatures, driven by slight variations in numerical weather prediction models and local radiative cooling under predominantly clear skies, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12–16°C for Ankara’s September 1 low. With high-pressure dominance and light northeasterly winds limiting mixing, surface temperatures are expected to fall rapidly after sunset as longwave radiation escapes, consistent with early-September climatology of 14–16°C lows amid daytime highs near 28–30°C. Recent stable conditions have produced minimal cloud cover or moisture advection, keeping probabilities balanced while underscoring sensitivity to any last-minute shifts in humidity or wind.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$350結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast uncertainty in minimum overnight temperatures, driven by slight variations in numerical weather prediction models and local radiative cooling under predominantly clear skies, explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12–16°C for Ankara’s September 1 low. With high-pressure dominance and light northeasterly winds limiting mixing, surface temperatures are expected to fall rapidly after sunset as longwave radiation escapes, consistent with early-September climatology of 14–16°C lows amid daytime highs near 28–30°C. Recent stable conditions have produced minimal cloud cover or moisture advection, keeping probabilities balanced while underscoring sensitivity to any last-minute shifts in humidity or wind.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions