Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Ankara overnight into August 31, with light northerly to northeasterly winds of 2–6 km/h and surface pressure near 1016 hPa. These conditions favor strong radiational cooling after sunset, supporting minimum temperatures in the 13–17 °C range—close to the long-term August climatological low of roughly 14–16 °C at the city’s 870–900 m elevation. Recent model runs show modest cooling relative to late-August peaks, with dew points near 10–12 °C limiting additional moisture-driven moderation. Market-implied probabilities weighting 11 °C or below most heavily reflect trader focus on the potential for efficient overnight cooling under clear skies, tempered by uncertainty in exact model consensus and any residual cloud cover that could raise the low. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Service and new model cycles later today will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日安卡拉的最低溫度？
8月31日安卡拉的最低溫度？
17°C 43%
11°C或以下 40%
13°C 28%
14°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
11°C或以下
40%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
26%
16°C
24%
17°C
43%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
17°C 43%
11°C或以下 40%
13°C 28%
14°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
40%
12°C
$0 交易量
27%
13°C
$0 交易量
28%
14°C
$0 交易量
28%
15°C
$0 交易量
26%
16°C
$0 交易量
24%
17°C
$5 交易量
43%
18°C
$54 交易量
2%
19°C
$5 交易量
<1%
20°C
$5 交易量
<1%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Ankara overnight into August 31, with light northerly to northeasterly winds of 2–6 km/h and surface pressure near 1016 hPa. These conditions favor strong radiational cooling after sunset, supporting minimum temperatures in the 13–17 °C range—close to the long-term August climatological low of roughly 14–16 °C at the city’s 870–900 m elevation. Recent model runs show modest cooling relative to late-August peaks, with dew points near 10–12 °C limiting additional moisture-driven moderation. Market-implied probabilities weighting 11 °C or below most heavily reflect trader focus on the potential for efficient overnight cooling under clear skies, tempered by uncertainty in exact model consensus and any residual cloud cover that could raise the low. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Service and new model cycles later today will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$69結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Ankara overnight into August 31, with light northerly to northeasterly winds of 2–6 km/h and surface pressure near 1016 hPa. These conditions favor strong radiational cooling after sunset, supporting minimum temperatures in the 13–17 °C range—close to the long-term August climatological low of roughly 14–16 °C at the city’s 870–900 m elevation. Recent model runs show modest cooling relative to late-August peaks, with dew points near 10–12 °C limiting additional moisture-driven moderation. Market-implied probabilities weighting 11 °C or below most heavily reflect trader focus on the potential for efficient overnight cooling under clear skies, tempered by uncertainty in exact model consensus and any residual cloud cover that could raise the low. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Service and new model cycles later today will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$69結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent official forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate mostly clear to partly cloudy skies over Ankara overnight into August 31, with light northerly to northeasterly winds of 2–6 km/h and surface pressure near 1016 hPa. These conditions favor strong radiational cooling after sunset, supporting minimum temperatures in the 13–17 °C range—close to the long-term August climatological low of roughly 14–16 °C at the city’s 870–900 m elevation. Recent model runs show modest cooling relative to late-August peaks, with dew points near 10–12 °C limiting additional moisture-driven moderation. Market-implied probabilities weighting 11 °C or below most heavily reflect trader focus on the potential for efficient overnight cooling under clear skies, tempered by uncertainty in exact model consensus and any residual cloud cover that could raise the low. Updated guidance from the National Meteorological Service and new model cycles later today will provide the next key data points for resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions