Official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models project an overnight low near 15°C for Ankara on August 30 under clearing skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling at roughly 900 m elevation. Current daytime readings around 24–27°C with moderate humidity support this range, aligning with climatological norms for the date. The 96% market-implied probability on 15°C reflects strong model consensus and limited downside risk from further cooling. Unseasonal persistent cloud cover, a sharper wind shift, or station-specific microclimate variations could produce a reading of 14°C or 16°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current synoptic pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日安卡拉的最低溫度？
8月30日安卡拉的最低溫度？
15°C 96%
14°C 41%
13°C 5%
12°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
5%
14°C
41%
15°C
96%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 96%
14°C 41%
13°C 5%
12°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
9°C or below
$150 交易量
<1%
10°C
$37 交易量
<1%
11°C
$37 交易量
1%
12°C
$82 交易量
4%
13°C
$96 交易量
5%
14°C
$0 交易量
41%
15°C
$195 交易量
96%
16°C
$79 交易量
<1%
17°C
$46 交易量
<1%
18°C
$35 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$238 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models project an overnight low near 15°C for Ankara on August 30 under clearing skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling at roughly 900 m elevation. Current daytime readings around 24–27°C with moderate humidity support this range, aligning with climatological norms for the date. The 96% market-implied probability on 15°C reflects strong model consensus and limited downside risk from further cooling. Unseasonal persistent cloud cover, a sharper wind shift, or station-specific microclimate variations could produce a reading of 14°C or 16°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$996結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models project an overnight low near 15°C for Ankara on August 30 under clearing skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling at roughly 900 m elevation. Current daytime readings around 24–27°C with moderate humidity support this range, aligning with climatological norms for the date. The 96% market-implied probability on 15°C reflects strong model consensus and limited downside risk from further cooling. Unseasonal persistent cloud cover, a sharper wind shift, or station-specific microclimate variations could produce a reading of 14°C or 16°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$996結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETOfficial forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and supporting models project an overnight low near 15°C for Ankara on August 30 under clearing skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-summer radiative cooling at roughly 900 m elevation. Current daytime readings around 24–27°C with moderate humidity support this range, aligning with climatological norms for the date. The 96% market-implied probability on 15°C reflects strong model consensus and limited downside risk from further cooling. Unseasonal persistent cloud cover, a sharper wind shift, or station-specific microclimate variations could produce a reading of 14°C or 16°C, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current synoptic pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions