Traders see closely matched probabilities for 0–4+ dissents at the January 2027 FOMC meeting—led by three at 25%—reflecting substantial uncertainty over the policy path amid elevated inflation near 3.4% and a stable but softening labor market with unemployment at 4.1%. Recent July 2026 minutes showed three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike and broader concern that persistent price pressures from tariffs and energy could require tighter policy, while core PCE trends and July job data have tempered immediate hike odds. With the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75%, upcoming CPI, employment reports, and FOMC communications through year-end will shape committee alignment and the balance of risks to the dual mandate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在1月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見?
3 25%
2 20%
1 20%
0 19%
0
19%
1
20%
2
20%
3
25%
4+
15%
3 25%
2 20%
1 20%
0 19%
0
19%
1
20%
2
20%
3
25%
4+
15%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched probabilities for 0–4+ dissents at the January 2027 FOMC meeting—led by three at 25%—reflecting substantial uncertainty over the policy path amid elevated inflation near 3.4% and a stable but softening labor market with unemployment at 4.1%. Recent July 2026 minutes showed three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike and broader concern that persistent price pressures from tariffs and energy could require tighter policy, while core PCE trends and July job data have tempered immediate hike odds. With the federal funds target at 3.50–3.75%, upcoming CPI, employment reports, and FOMC communications through year-end will shape committee alignment and the balance of risks to the dual mandate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions