Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh highlight deep divisions, with the July 29 hold decision passing 9-3 amid three hawkish dissents favoring a rate hike to address sticky inflation. Core PCE inflation held near 3.3% year-over-year through mid-2026, well above the 2% target amid energy-driven pressures, while the unemployment rate eased only modestly to 4.1% in July. This data backdrop, combined with a June dot plot split showing nine participants favoring higher year-end 2026 rates, fuels uncertainty over the scale of dissent at the December meeting. Traders price closely matched outcomes around two to four dissents because upcoming PCE releases, labor reports, and any geopolitical shifts in energy prices could shift the hawk-dove balance before year-end. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these fluid policy tensions rather than a settled consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 24.2%
3 22%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
最新
最新
2026-12-09
0
16%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
22%
2 24.2%
3 22%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
最新
最新
2026-12-09
0
$6,187 交易量
16%
1
$409 交易量
17%
2
$210 交易量
24%
3
$244 交易量
22%
4+
$238 交易量
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh highlight deep divisions, with the July 29 hold decision passing 9-3 amid three hawkish dissents favoring a rate hike to address sticky inflation. Core PCE inflation held near 3.3% year-over-year through mid-2026, well above the 2% target amid energy-driven pressures, while the unemployment rate eased only modestly to 4.1% in July. This data backdrop, combined with a June dot plot split showing nine participants favoring higher year-end 2026 rates, fuels uncertainty over the scale of dissent at the December meeting. Traders price closely matched outcomes around two to four dissents because upcoming PCE releases, labor reports, and any geopolitical shifts in energy prices could shift the hawk-dove balance before year-end. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these fluid policy tensions rather than a settled consensus.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
交易量
$7,289結束日期
2026-12-09市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh highlight deep divisions, with the July 29 hold decision passing 9-3 amid three hawkish dissents favoring a rate hike to address sticky inflation. Core PCE inflation held near 3.3% year-over-year through mid-2026, well above the 2% target amid energy-driven pressures, while the unemployment rate eased only modestly to 4.1% in July. This data backdrop, combined with a June dot plot split showing nine participants favoring higher year-end 2026 rates, fuels uncertainty over the scale of dissent at the December meeting. Traders price closely matched outcomes around two to four dissents because upcoming PCE releases, labor reports, and any geopolitical shifts in energy prices could shift the hawk-dove balance before year-end. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these fluid policy tensions rather than a settled consensus.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$7,289結束日期
2026-12-09市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh highlight deep divisions, with the July 29 hold decision passing 9-3 amid three hawkish dissents favoring a rate hike to address sticky inflation. Core PCE inflation held near 3.3% year-over-year through mid-2026, well above the 2% target amid energy-driven pressures, while the unemployment rate eased only modestly to 4.1% in July. This data backdrop, combined with a June dot plot split showing nine participants favoring higher year-end 2026 rates, fuels uncertainty over the scale of dissent at the December meeting. Traders price closely matched outcomes around two to four dissents because upcoming PCE releases, labor reports, and any geopolitical shifts in energy prices could shift the hawk-dove balance before year-end. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessment of these fluid policy tensions rather than a settled consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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