Recent official forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 14 show overcast skies with light rain or drizzle possible, capping daytime heating and producing maximum temperatures near 28–29°C. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies highlights persistent cloud cover and northeasterly winds that reduce solar radiation and suppress the usual mid-August peak near 31°C. This uncertainty, combined with minor differences in how agencies resolve afternoon clearing, explains why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 28°C and 29°C while assigning negligible odds to 30°C or higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations of humidity and precipitation will determine the final recorded high before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日鄭州氣溫最高？
8月14日鄭州氣溫最高？
29°C 54%
30°C 3%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
48%
29°C
54%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
29°C 54%
30°C 3%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
22°C or below
$18 交易量
<1%
23°C
$149 交易量
<1%
24°C
$244 交易量
<1%
25°C
$685 交易量
<1%
26°C
$573 交易量
<1%
27°C
$479 交易量
<1%
28°C
$18 交易量
48%
29°C
$26 交易量
54%
30°C
$505 交易量
3%
31°C
$295 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$361 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 14 show overcast skies with light rain or drizzle possible, capping daytime heating and producing maximum temperatures near 28–29°C. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies highlights persistent cloud cover and northeasterly winds that reduce solar radiation and suppress the usual mid-August peak near 31°C. This uncertainty, combined with minor differences in how agencies resolve afternoon clearing, explains why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 28°C and 29°C while assigning negligible odds to 30°C or higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations of humidity and precipitation will determine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,352結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 14 show overcast skies with light rain or drizzle possible, capping daytime heating and producing maximum temperatures near 28–29°C. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies highlights persistent cloud cover and northeasterly winds that reduce solar radiation and suppress the usual mid-August peak near 31°C. This uncertainty, combined with minor differences in how agencies resolve afternoon clearing, explains why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 28°C and 29°C while assigning negligible odds to 30°C or higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations of humidity and precipitation will determine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,352結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent official forecasts for Zhengzhou on August 14 show overcast skies with light rain or drizzle possible, capping daytime heating and producing maximum temperatures near 28–29°C. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies highlights persistent cloud cover and northeasterly winds that reduce solar radiation and suppress the usual mid-August peak near 31°C. This uncertainty, combined with minor differences in how agencies resolve afternoon clearing, explains why traders assign nearly equal implied probabilities to 28°C and 29°C while assigning negligible odds to 30°C or higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations of humidity and precipitation will determine the final recorded high before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions