**Warsaw recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Official station observations and forecast models, including GFS data, showed afternoon peaks reaching 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus stems from consistent real-time measurements across multiple sources, where temperatures climbed from morning lows near 14–16°C to the observed high before cooling in the evening. Minor model or station discrepancies could shift the final official reading by 1°C, but current data strongly supports resolution at 24°C absent any late revisions from monitoring agencies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日華沙的最高溫度？
9月16日華沙的最高溫度？
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$40,385 交易量
$40,385 交易量
2026-09-16
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$40,385 交易量
$40,385 交易量
2026-09-16
19°C或以下
$1,728 交易量
<1%
20°C
$200 交易量
<1%
21°C
$278 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,064 交易量
<1%
23°C
$6,840 交易量
<1%
24°C
$8,376 交易量
100%
25°C
$11,070 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,685 交易量
<1%
27°C
$3,578 交易量
<1%
28°C
$788 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$1,777 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Warsaw recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Official station observations and forecast models, including GFS data, showed afternoon peaks reaching 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus stems from consistent real-time measurements across multiple sources, where temperatures climbed from morning lows near 14–16°C to the observed high before cooling in the evening. Minor model or station discrepancies could shift the final official reading by 1°C, but current data strongly supports resolution at 24°C absent any late revisions from monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$40,385結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Warsaw recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Official station observations and forecast models, including GFS data, showed afternoon peaks reaching 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus stems from consistent real-time measurements across multiple sources, where temperatures climbed from morning lows near 14–16°C to the observed high before cooling in the evening. Minor model or station discrepancies could shift the final official reading by 1°C, but current data strongly supports resolution at 24°C absent any late revisions from monitoring agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40,385結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Warsaw recorded a daily maximum temperature of 24°C on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Official station observations and forecast models, including GFS data, showed afternoon peaks reaching 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus stems from consistent real-time measurements across multiple sources, where temperatures climbed from morning lows near 14–16°C to the observed high before cooling in the evening. Minor model or station discrepancies could shift the final official reading by 1°C, but current data strongly supports resolution at 24°C absent any late revisions from monitoring agencies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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