Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 17 likely reaching 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with light to moderate rain and westerly winds around 15-20 km/h. These conditions, driven by a cooler Atlantic air mass typical for mid-September, suppress daytime heating compared to clearer periods, aligning with historical averages near 18°C for the date. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C reflect trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and real-time observations from stations like Chopin Airport, where cloud cover and precipitation have limited peaks to the 18-20°C range. Updated model runs showing slight warming potential could shift probabilities toward 20°C if skies clear earlier than expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日華沙的最高溫度？
9月17日華沙的最高溫度？
19°C 54%
18°C 33%
20°C 13%
21°C <1%
最新
$22,042 交易量
最新
$22,042 交易量
2026-09-17
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
33%
19°C
54%
20°C
13%
21°C
<1%
22°C 或以上
<1%
19°C 54%
18°C 33%
20°C 13%
21°C <1%
最新
$22,042 交易量
最新
$22,042 交易量
2026-09-17
12°C或以下
$1,423 交易量
<1%
13°C
$183 交易量
<1%
14°C
$143 交易量
<1%
15°C
$307 交易量
<1%
16°C
$300 交易量
<1%
17°C
$11,651 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,591 交易量
33%
19°C
$3,159 交易量
54%
20°C
$1,699 交易量
13%
21°C
$151 交易量
<1%
22°C 或以上
$435 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 17 likely reaching 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with light to moderate rain and westerly winds around 15-20 km/h. These conditions, driven by a cooler Atlantic air mass typical for mid-September, suppress daytime heating compared to clearer periods, aligning with historical averages near 18°C for the date. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C reflect trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and real-time observations from stations like Chopin Airport, where cloud cover and precipitation have limited peaks to the 18-20°C range. Updated model runs showing slight warming potential could shift probabilities toward 20°C if skies clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$22,042結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 17 likely reaching 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with light to moderate rain and westerly winds around 15-20 km/h. These conditions, driven by a cooler Atlantic air mass typical for mid-September, suppress daytime heating compared to clearer periods, aligning with historical averages near 18°C for the date. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C reflect trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and real-time observations from stations like Chopin Airport, where cloud cover and precipitation have limited peaks to the 18-20°C range. Updated model runs showing slight warming potential could shift probabilities toward 20°C if skies clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,042結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological models and agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 17 likely reaching 19°C under mostly cloudy skies with light to moderate rain and westerly winds around 15-20 km/h. These conditions, driven by a cooler Atlantic air mass typical for mid-September, suppress daytime heating compared to clearer periods, aligning with historical averages near 18°C for the date. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C reflect trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and real-time observations from stations like Chopin Airport, where cloud cover and precipitation have limited peaks to the 18-20°C range. Updated model runs showing slight warming potential could shift probabilities toward 20°C if skies clear earlier than expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions