Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 28°C daily high in Milan on September 16, 2026, reflecting official observational confirmation from regional meteorological stations that the maximum temperature reached precisely this threshold. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, aligned with ensemble model guidance to produce this outcome, consistent with September climatology showing typical highs near 24–26°C but elevated by recent warmth. With resolution criteria now met, only an unforeseen data revision from authoritative sources could alter the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日米蘭的最高溫度？
9月16日米蘭的最高溫度？
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,236 交易量
$44,236 交易量
2026-09-16
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,236 交易量
$44,236 交易量
2026-09-16
22°C或以下
$3,298 交易量
否
23°C
$170 交易量
否
24°C
$538 交易量
否
25°C
$2,630 交易量
否
26°C
$4,977 交易量
否
27°C
$8,424 交易量
否
28°C
$11,890 交易量
是
29°C
$5,975 交易量
否
30°C
$3,264 交易量
否
31°C
$427 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$2,643 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 28°C daily high in Milan on September 16, 2026, reflecting official observational confirmation from regional meteorological stations that the maximum temperature reached precisely this threshold. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, aligned with ensemble model guidance to produce this outcome, consistent with September climatology showing typical highs near 24–26°C but elevated by recent warmth. With resolution criteria now met, only an unforeseen data revision from authoritative sources could alter the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$44,236結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 28°C daily high in Milan on September 16, 2026, reflecting official observational confirmation from regional meteorological stations that the maximum temperature reached precisely this threshold. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, aligned with ensemble model guidance to produce this outcome, consistent with September climatology showing typical highs near 24–26°C but elevated by recent warmth. With resolution criteria now met, only an unforeseen data revision from authoritative sources could alter the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,236結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a 28°C daily high in Milan on September 16, 2026, reflecting official observational confirmation from regional meteorological stations that the maximum temperature reached precisely this threshold. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, aligned with ensemble model guidance to produce this outcome, consistent with September climatology showing typical highs near 24–26°C but elevated by recent warmth. With resolution criteria now met, only an unforeseen data revision from authoritative sources could alter the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions