**Trader consensus at 100% on 26°C reflects official forecasts and real-time observations locking in a daytime maximum of exactly that value for Warsaw on August 30, 2026.** Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW-PIB) synoptic guidance, corroborated by multiple numerical models, projects a high of 26°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow within weakening high pressure transitioning to cooler polar maritime air. Hourly data show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 16°C to afternoon peaks of 26–27°C before declining, with dew points and humidity supporting limited further warming. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate spikes above official station readings or revised post-event analysis if sustained sunshine or reduced cloud cover occurs, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日華沙的最高溫度？
8月30日華沙的最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$18,454 交易量
$18,454 交易量
2026-08-30
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$18,454 交易量
$18,454 交易量
2026-08-30
21°C or below
$261 交易量
<1%
22°C
$605 交易量
<1%
23°C
$329 交易量
<1%
24°C
$75 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,378 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,634 交易量
100%
27°C
$4,638 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,758 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,125 交易量
<1%
30°C
$388 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$263 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 26°C reflects official forecasts and real-time observations locking in a daytime maximum of exactly that value for Warsaw on August 30, 2026.**
Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW-PIB) synoptic guidance, corroborated by multiple numerical models, projects a high of 26°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow within weakening high pressure transitioning to cooler polar maritime air. Hourly data show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 16°C to afternoon peaks of 26–27°C before declining, with dew points and humidity supporting limited further warming.
Realistic challenges include localized microclimate spikes above official station readings or revised post-event analysis if sustained sunshine or reduced cloud cover occurs, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$18,454結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 26°C reflects official forecasts and real-time observations locking in a daytime maximum of exactly that value for Warsaw on August 30, 2026.**
Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW-PIB) synoptic guidance, corroborated by multiple numerical models, projects a high of 26°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow within weakening high pressure transitioning to cooler polar maritime air. Hourly data show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 16°C to afternoon peaks of 26–27°C before declining, with dew points and humidity supporting limited further warming.
Realistic challenges include localized microclimate spikes above official station readings or revised post-event analysis if sustained sunshine or reduced cloud cover occurs, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,454結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader consensus at 100% on 26°C reflects official forecasts and real-time observations locking in a daytime maximum of exactly that value for Warsaw on August 30, 2026.** Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW-PIB) synoptic guidance, corroborated by multiple numerical models, projects a high of 26°C under variable cloud cover and light southerly flow within weakening high pressure transitioning to cooler polar maritime air. Hourly data show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 16°C to afternoon peaks of 26–27°C before declining, with dew points and humidity supporting limited further warming. Realistic challenges include localized microclimate spikes above official station readings or revised post-event analysis if sustained sunshine or reduced cloud cover occurs, though current conditions and model agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions