Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C during afternoon hours, with hourly readings peaking near that level under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds. This directly aligns with the market-implied outcome, as post-event data from authoritative monitoring sources eliminated uncertainty in the temperature threshold. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal scope for revision unless official records undergo rare recalibration due to instrumentation checks. Scenarios that could challenge the 100% positioning remain limited to administrative corrections or disputes over station selection criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日華沙的最高溫度？
8月29日華沙的最高溫度？
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,565 交易量
$37,565 交易量
2026-08-29
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,565 交易量
$37,565 交易量
2026-08-29
15°C or below
$244 交易量
No
16°C
$258 交易量
No
17°C
$703 交易量
No
18°C
$4,668 交易量
No
19°C
$5,741 交易量
No
20°C
$5,034 交易量
No
21°C
$6,932 交易量
No
22°C
$5,425 交易量
No
23°C
$5,139 交易量
Yes
24°C
$2,014 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$1,407 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C during afternoon hours, with hourly readings peaking near that level under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds. This directly aligns with the market-implied outcome, as post-event data from authoritative monitoring sources eliminated uncertainty in the temperature threshold. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal scope for revision unless official records undergo rare recalibration due to instrumentation checks. Scenarios that could challenge the 100% positioning remain limited to administrative corrections or disputes over station selection criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$37,565結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C during afternoon hours, with hourly readings peaking near that level under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds. This directly aligns with the market-implied outcome, as post-event data from authoritative monitoring sources eliminated uncertainty in the temperature threshold. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal scope for revision unless official records undergo rare recalibration due to instrumentation checks. Scenarios that could challenge the 100% positioning remain limited to administrative corrections or disputes over station selection criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,565結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 23°C during afternoon hours, with hourly readings peaking near that level under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds. This directly aligns with the market-implied outcome, as post-event data from authoritative monitoring sources eliminated uncertainty in the temperature threshold. Trader consensus reflects the finality of verified measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal scope for revision unless official records undergo rare recalibration due to instrumentation checks. Scenarios that could challenge the 100% positioning remain limited to administrative corrections or disputes over station selection criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions