Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network point to a high near 26–27°C for Toronto on August 6 amid cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with normal maxima around 27°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap or briefly boost readings by a degree or two. Trader consensus clustering on 28–29°C reflects model spreads and the possibility of partial clearing allowing stronger insolation, while lower probabilities on 30°C+ align with the limited heating potential under persistent cloud. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in diurnal maximum timing and moisture effects. Updated model runs and official observations near peak heating hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月6日多倫多氣溫最高？
29°C 41%
28°C 34%
30°C 17%
27°C 8%
最新
$20,313 交易量
最新
$20,313 交易量
2026-08-06
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
34%
29°C
41%
30°C
17%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 34%
30°C 17%
27°C 8%
最新
$20,313 交易量
最新
$20,313 交易量
2026-08-06
23°C or below
$677 交易量
<1%
24°C
$724 交易量
<1%
25°C
$818 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,577 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,457 交易量
8%
28°C
$5,475 交易量
34%
29°C
$2,489 交易量
41%
30°C
$1,090 交易量
17%
31°C
$4,590 交易量
2%
32°C
$466 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$950 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network point to a high near 26–27°C for Toronto on August 6 amid cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with normal maxima around 27°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap or briefly boost readings by a degree or two. Trader consensus clustering on 28–29°C reflects model spreads and the possibility of partial clearing allowing stronger insolation, while lower probabilities on 30°C+ align with the limited heating potential under persistent cloud. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in diurnal maximum timing and moisture effects. Updated model runs and official observations near peak heating hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$20,313結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network point to a high near 26–27°C for Toronto on August 6 amid cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with normal maxima around 27°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap or briefly boost readings by a degree or two. Trader consensus clustering on 28–29°C reflects model spreads and the possibility of partial clearing allowing stronger insolation, while lower probabilities on 30°C+ align with the limited heating potential under persistent cloud. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in diurnal maximum timing and moisture effects. Updated model runs and official observations near peak heating hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,313結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network point to a high near 26–27°C for Toronto on August 6 amid cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with normal maxima around 27°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and potential afternoon convection are key variables that could cap or briefly boost readings by a degree or two. Trader consensus clustering on 28–29°C reflects model spreads and the possibility of partial clearing allowing stronger insolation, while lower probabilities on 30°C+ align with the limited heating potential under persistent cloud. The tight spread between the two leading outcomes underscores genuine uncertainty in diurnal maximum timing and moisture effects. Updated model runs and official observations near peak heating hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions