Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service point to peak temperatures in Tel Aviv of 31–33°C on September 17 under clear skies and northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, with afternoon humidity dropping below 60% to support strong solar heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain, where sea-breeze moderation typically caps highs near seasonal norms of 29–32°C rather than allowing spikes above 35°C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around 34°C as the most probable outcome while keeping lower and higher extremes at slim implied odds. Updated observations through midday will further refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
34°C 71%
35°C 19%
33°C 12%
36°C 2%
$24,462 交易量
$24,462 交易量
30°C或以下
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
12%
34°C
71%
35°C
19%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C或以上
<1%
34°C 71%
35°C 19%
33°C 12%
36°C 2%
$24,462 交易量
$24,462 交易量
30°C或以下
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
12%
34°C
71%
35°C
19%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service point to peak temperatures in Tel Aviv of 31–33°C on September 17 under clear skies and northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, with afternoon humidity dropping below 60% to support strong solar heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain, where sea-breeze moderation typically caps highs near seasonal norms of 29–32°C rather than allowing spikes above 35°C. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around 34°C as the most probable outcome while keeping lower and higher extremes at slim implied odds. Updated observations through midday will further refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions