Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on September 17 will likely fall in the 23–25°C range under clear skies and light variable winds. Radiative cooling after sunset, moderated by warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures near 27–28°C and dew points around 20–22°C, drives the minimum, typically occurring near dawn. Slight differences among outcomes stem from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and any residual cloud cover, with no significant synoptic systems or strong advection expected. Historical September climatology for the region shows similar early-autumn minima, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these thresholds ahead of final observational confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
9月17日特拉維夫的最低溫度？
24°C 49%
25°C 48%
22°C 37%
20°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
18%
21°C
<1%
22°C
37%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
48%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
24°C 49%
25°C 48%
22°C 37%
20°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
19°C或以下
$41 交易量
1%
20°C
$0 交易量
18%
21°C
$270 交易量
<1%
22°C
$122 交易量
37%
23°C
$10 交易量
49%
24°C
$9 交易量
49%
25°C
$14 交易量
48%
26°C
$16 交易量
<1%
27°C
$47 交易量
<1%
28°C
$47 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$41 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on September 17 will likely fall in the 23–25°C range under clear skies and light variable winds. Radiative cooling after sunset, moderated by warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures near 27–28°C and dew points around 20–22°C, drives the minimum, typically occurring near dawn. Slight differences among outcomes stem from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and any residual cloud cover, with no significant synoptic systems or strong advection expected. Historical September climatology for the region shows similar early-autumn minima, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these thresholds ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$618結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on September 17 will likely fall in the 23–25°C range under clear skies and light variable winds. Radiative cooling after sunset, moderated by warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures near 27–28°C and dew points around 20–22°C, drives the minimum, typically occurring near dawn. Slight differences among outcomes stem from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and any residual cloud cover, with no significant synoptic systems or strong advection expected. Historical September climatology for the region shows similar early-autumn minima, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these thresholds ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$618結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv on September 17 will likely fall in the 23–25°C range under clear skies and light variable winds. Radiative cooling after sunset, moderated by warm Mediterranean sea surface temperatures near 27–28°C and dew points around 20–22°C, drives the minimum, typically occurring near dawn. Slight differences among outcomes stem from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and any residual cloud cover, with no significant synoptic systems or strong advection expected. Historical September climatology for the region shows similar early-autumn minima, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these thresholds ahead of final observational confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions