**Trader consensus has converged on a 33°C high for Tel Aviv on September 16, 2026, producing near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Multiple forecast models and real-time observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional networks show a clear daytime peak near this level under mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain. Official guidance placed the daily maximum around 32–33°C, with hourly data confirming the warmest readings occurred in the early afternoon. This positioning aligns with verified surface measurements rather than longer-range projections. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the result involve station-specific reporting differences, final quality-controlled adjustments by the issuing agency, or an unexpected late-day cooling spike not captured in current model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
9月16日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,797 交易量
$36,797 交易量
2026-09-16
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或以上
<1%
33°C 100.0%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$36,797 交易量
$36,797 交易量
2026-09-16
29°C或以下
$3,434 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,982 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,259 交易量
<1%
32°C
$8,173 交易量
<1%
33°C
$8,524 交易量
100%
34°C
$8,006 交易量
<1%
35°C
$2,963 交易量
<1%
36°C
$546 交易量
<1%
37°C
$201 交易量
<1%
38°C
$307 交易量
<1%
39°C或以上
$402 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 33°C high for Tel Aviv on September 16, 2026, producing near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Multiple forecast models and real-time observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional networks show a clear daytime peak near this level under mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain. Official guidance placed the daily maximum around 32–33°C, with hourly data confirming the warmest readings occurred in the early afternoon. This positioning aligns with verified surface measurements rather than longer-range projections. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the result involve station-specific reporting differences, final quality-controlled adjustments by the issuing agency, or an unexpected late-day cooling spike not captured in current model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$36,797結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 33°C high for Tel Aviv on September 16, 2026, producing near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Multiple forecast models and real-time observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional networks show a clear daytime peak near this level under mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain. Official guidance placed the daily maximum around 32–33°C, with hourly data confirming the warmest readings occurred in the early afternoon. This positioning aligns with verified surface measurements rather than longer-range projections. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the result involve station-specific reporting differences, final quality-controlled adjustments by the issuing agency, or an unexpected late-day cooling spike not captured in current model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,797結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader consensus has converged on a 33°C high for Tel Aviv on September 16, 2026, producing near-100% implied probability for that exact outcome.** Multiple forecast models and real-time observations from the Israel Meteorological Service and regional networks show a clear daytime peak near this level under mostly clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and moderate humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the coastal plain. Official guidance placed the daily maximum around 32–33°C, with hourly data confirming the warmest readings occurred in the early afternoon. This positioning aligns with verified surface measurements rather than longer-range projections. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the result involve station-specific reporting differences, final quality-controlled adjustments by the issuing agency, or an unexpected late-day cooling spike not captured in current model runs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions