Recent model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather places Tel Aviv's August 9 coastal maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the long-term seasonal average of 32°C and typical Mediterranean summer high-pressure patterns that limit extreme deviations. No active heatwave persists after early August conditions, reducing odds of 34°C or higher while supporting the 66% market-implied probability for 33°C as the most likely outcome. Minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities toward 32°C if onshore flow strengthens overnight, with final resolution dependent on official 24-hour maximum readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月9日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 66%
32°C 24%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
24%
33°C
66%
34°C
11%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 66%
32°C 24%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
29°C or below
$434 交易量
<1%
30°C
$487 交易量
<1%
31°C
$431 交易量
2%
32°C
$1,045 交易量
24%
33°C
$1,762 交易量
66%
34°C
$901 交易量
11%
35°C
$586 交易量
<1%
36°C
$742 交易量
<1%
37°C
$289 交易量
<1%
38°C
$502 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$389 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather places Tel Aviv's August 9 coastal maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the long-term seasonal average of 32°C and typical Mediterranean summer high-pressure patterns that limit extreme deviations. No active heatwave persists after early August conditions, reducing odds of 34°C or higher while supporting the 66% market-implied probability for 33°C as the most likely outcome. Minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities toward 32°C if onshore flow strengthens overnight, with final resolution dependent on official 24-hour maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$7,569結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather places Tel Aviv's August 9 coastal maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the long-term seasonal average of 32°C and typical Mediterranean summer high-pressure patterns that limit extreme deviations. No active heatwave persists after early August conditions, reducing odds of 34°C or higher while supporting the 66% market-implied probability for 33°C as the most likely outcome. Minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities toward 32°C if onshore flow strengthens overnight, with final resolution dependent on official 24-hour maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,569結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather places Tel Aviv's August 9 coastal maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the long-term seasonal average of 32°C and typical Mediterranean summer high-pressure patterns that limit extreme deviations. No active heatwave persists after early August conditions, reducing odds of 34°C or higher while supporting the 66% market-implied probability for 33°C as the most likely outcome. Minor forecast revisions could still shift probabilities toward 32°C if onshore flow strengthens overnight, with final resolution dependent on official 24-hour maximum readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions