Official meteorological records from Brazilian agencies such as INMET confirm a maximum temperature of 31°C in São Paulo on September 4, establishing the market's near-certain outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatology for early spring in the region, where typical highs range from 28–32°C under stable high-pressure systems and limited cloud cover. Model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from these norms, with minimal influence from passing frontal systems or urban heat island effects on peak readings. While final certified data could theoretically undergo minor station adjustments, such revisions rarely alter daily maxima enough to shift resolution once preliminary measurements lock in at this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日聖保羅的最高溫度？
9月4日聖保羅的最高溫度？
31°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,432 交易量
$43,432 交易量
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C或以上
否
31°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$43,432 交易量
$43,432 交易量
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
$4,509 交易量
否
24°C
$4,853 交易量
否
25°C
$1,617 交易量
否
26°C
$1,007 交易量
否
27°C
$1,263 交易量
否
28°C
$2,246 交易量
否
29°C
$3,373 交易量
否
30°C
$6,289 交易量
否
31°C
$5,035 交易量
是
32°C
$5,234 交易量
否
33°C或以上
$8,005 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from Brazilian agencies such as INMET confirm a maximum temperature of 31°C in São Paulo on September 4, establishing the market's near-certain outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatology for early spring in the region, where typical highs range from 28–32°C under stable high-pressure systems and limited cloud cover. Model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from these norms, with minimal influence from passing frontal systems or urban heat island effects on peak readings. While final certified data could theoretically undergo minor station adjustments, such revisions rarely alter daily maxima enough to shift resolution once preliminary measurements lock in at this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$43,432結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from Brazilian agencies such as INMET confirm a maximum temperature of 31°C in São Paulo on September 4, establishing the market's near-certain outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatology for early spring in the region, where typical highs range from 28–32°C under stable high-pressure systems and limited cloud cover. Model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from these norms, with minimal influence from passing frontal systems or urban heat island effects on peak readings. While final certified data could theoretically undergo minor station adjustments, such revisions rarely alter daily maxima enough to shift resolution once preliminary measurements lock in at this threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,432結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological records from Brazilian agencies such as INMET confirm a maximum temperature of 31°C in São Paulo on September 4, establishing the market's near-certain outcome. This aligns with seasonal climatology for early spring in the region, where typical highs range from 28–32°C under stable high-pressure systems and limited cloud cover. Model guidance and surface observations showed no significant deviations from these norms, with minimal influence from passing frontal systems or urban heat island effects on peak readings. While final certified data could theoretically undergo minor station adjustments, such revisions rarely alter daily maxima enough to shift resolution once preliminary measurements lock in at this threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions