Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the Pacific, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cold water, keep San Francisco highs typically capped near the seasonal 69°F average on August 8. NWS and model guidance indicate upper-60s to low-70s readings depending on the timing and extent of any afternoon clearing versus lingering stratus, which directly separates the closely matched 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes at 41.5% and 35% implied probability. Weakened sea breezes or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, while deeper fog or stronger westerlies would suppress the peak, aligning with trader consensus around these narrow bins rather than extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月8日的最高溫度？
舊金山8月8日的最高溫度？
68-69°F 41%
70-71°F 35%
67華氏度或以下 15%
72-73華氏度 10%
$17,455 交易量
$17,455 交易量
2026-08-08
67華氏度或以下
15%
68-69°F
41%
70-71°F
35%
72-73華氏度
10%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
68-69°F 41%
70-71°F 35%
67華氏度或以下 15%
72-73華氏度 10%
$17,455 交易量
$17,455 交易量
2026-08-08
67華氏度或以下
$2,263 交易量
15%
68-69°F
$2,731 交易量
41%
70-71°F
$2,203 交易量
35%
72-73華氏度
$3,630 交易量
10%
74-75°F
$2,094 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$1,418 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$729 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$776 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$864 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$371 交易量
<1%
86°F或更高
$376 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the Pacific, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cold water, keep San Francisco highs typically capped near the seasonal 69°F average on August 8. NWS and model guidance indicate upper-60s to low-70s readings depending on the timing and extent of any afternoon clearing versus lingering stratus, which directly separates the closely matched 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes at 41.5% and 35% implied probability. Weakened sea breezes or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, while deeper fog or stronger westerlies would suppress the peak, aligning with trader consensus around these narrow bins rather than extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$17,455結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the Pacific, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cold water, keep San Francisco highs typically capped near the seasonal 69°F average on August 8. NWS and model guidance indicate upper-60s to low-70s readings depending on the timing and extent of any afternoon clearing versus lingering stratus, which directly separates the closely matched 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes at 41.5% and 35% implied probability. Weakened sea breezes or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, while deeper fog or stronger westerlies would suppress the peak, aligning with trader consensus around these narrow bins rather than extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,455結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETPersistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the Pacific, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cold water, keep San Francisco highs typically capped near the seasonal 69°F average on August 8. NWS and model guidance indicate upper-60s to low-70s readings depending on the timing and extent of any afternoon clearing versus lingering stratus, which directly separates the closely matched 68-69°F and 70-71°F outcomes at 41.5% and 35% implied probability. Weakened sea breezes or reduced cloud cover could allow modest additional warming, while deeper fog or stronger westerlies would suppress the peak, aligning with trader consensus around these narrow bins rather than extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions