**Clear skies and a stable warm air mass are positioning Qingdao for a September 6 daily maximum near 30–31 °C.** Multiple short-range forecasts show sunny conditions persisting from September 5 highs of 29–31 °C, with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover that will allow strong daytime heating. These factors align with the market-implied odds favoring 31 °C (53 %) and 30 °C (31.5 %), as traders weigh the absence of cooling marine influences or frontal passages against typical early-September climatology of roughly 26 °C. Model consensus remains tight on the upper end of the range, though slight downward revisions in some guidance keep 29 °C in play at lower probability. The next official update from regional meteorological centers will likely confirm whether the peak reaches the 31 °C threshold that currently dominates trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日青島氣溫最高？
9月6日青島氣溫最高？
31°C 54%
30°C 33%
29°C 8%
32°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
33%
31°C
54%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 54%
30°C 33%
29°C 8%
32°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
25°C或以下
$245 交易量
<1%
26°C
$509 交易量
<1%
27°C
$386 交易量
<1%
28°C
$465 交易量
3%
29°C
$725 交易量
8%
30°C
$498 交易量
33%
31°C
$1,563 交易量
54%
32°C
$410 交易量
6%
33°C
$307 交易量
3%
34°C
$94 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$203 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and a stable warm air mass are positioning Qingdao for a September 6 daily maximum near 30–31 °C.** Multiple short-range forecasts show sunny conditions persisting from September 5 highs of 29–31 °C, with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover that will allow strong daytime heating. These factors align with the market-implied odds favoring 31 °C (53 %) and 30 °C (31.5 %), as traders weigh the absence of cooling marine influences or frontal passages against typical early-September climatology of roughly 26 °C. Model consensus remains tight on the upper end of the range, though slight downward revisions in some guidance keep 29 °C in play at lower probability. The next official update from regional meteorological centers will likely confirm whether the peak reaches the 31 °C threshold that currently dominates trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,404結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and a stable warm air mass are positioning Qingdao for a September 6 daily maximum near 30–31 °C.** Multiple short-range forecasts show sunny conditions persisting from September 5 highs of 29–31 °C, with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover that will allow strong daytime heating. These factors align with the market-implied odds favoring 31 °C (53 %) and 30 °C (31.5 %), as traders weigh the absence of cooling marine influences or frontal passages against typical early-September climatology of roughly 26 °C. Model consensus remains tight on the upper end of the range, though slight downward revisions in some guidance keep 29 °C in play at lower probability. The next official update from regional meteorological centers will likely confirm whether the peak reaches the 31 °C threshold that currently dominates trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,404結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Clear skies and a stable warm air mass are positioning Qingdao for a September 6 daily maximum near 30–31 °C.** Multiple short-range forecasts show sunny conditions persisting from September 5 highs of 29–31 °C, with light to moderate easterly or northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover that will allow strong daytime heating. These factors align with the market-implied odds favoring 31 °C (53 %) and 30 °C (31.5 %), as traders weigh the absence of cooling marine influences or frontal passages against typical early-September climatology of roughly 26 °C. Model consensus remains tight on the upper end of the range, though slight downward revisions in some guidance keep 29 °C in play at lower probability. The next official update from regional meteorological centers will likely confirm whether the peak reaches the 31 °C threshold that currently dominates trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions