Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Qingdao’s daily maximum today, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and international ensemble guidance that points to stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds of 3–4 levels, and peak insolation under mostly sunny skies at the official Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station. Recent days under comparable setups delivered highs of 29–30°C with low model spread, and current boundary-layer humidity around 50–60% supports the narrow range traders have priced. The market-implied odds embed the wisdom of crowds assessing these atmospheric variables against historical September baselines. A modest shift in timing of maximum heating, local calibration at the station, or unexpected moisture influx could still produce a 30°C or 32°C reading before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月5日青島氣溫最高？
9月5日青島氣溫最高？
31°C 99.6%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$24,150 交易量
$24,150 交易量
2026-09-05
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 99.6%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$24,150 交易量
$24,150 交易量
2026-09-05
25°C或以下
$255 交易量
<1%
26°C
$681 交易量
<1%
27°C
$346 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,571 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,589 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,054 交易量
<1%
31°C
$6,359 交易量
100%
32°C
$3,387 交易量
<1%
33°C
$2,436 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,566 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$2,906 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Qingdao’s daily maximum today, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and international ensemble guidance that points to stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds of 3–4 levels, and peak insolation under mostly sunny skies at the official Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station. Recent days under comparable setups delivered highs of 29–30°C with low model spread, and current boundary-layer humidity around 50–60% supports the narrow range traders have priced. The market-implied odds embed the wisdom of crowds assessing these atmospheric variables against historical September baselines. A modest shift in timing of maximum heating, local calibration at the station, or unexpected moisture influx could still produce a 30°C or 32°C reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$24,150結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Qingdao’s daily maximum today, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and international ensemble guidance that points to stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds of 3–4 levels, and peak insolation under mostly sunny skies at the official Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station. Recent days under comparable setups delivered highs of 29–30°C with low model spread, and current boundary-layer humidity around 50–60% supports the narrow range traders have priced. The market-implied odds embed the wisdom of crowds assessing these atmospheric variables against historical September baselines. A modest shift in timing of maximum heating, local calibration at the station, or unexpected moisture influx could still produce a 30°C or 32°C reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,150結束日期
2026-09-05市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETTrader consensus strongly favors 31°C as Qingdao’s daily maximum today, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration and international ensemble guidance that points to stable high-pressure conditions, light northeast winds of 3–4 levels, and peak insolation under mostly sunny skies at the official Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station. Recent days under comparable setups delivered highs of 29–30°C with low model spread, and current boundary-layer humidity around 50–60% supports the narrow range traders have priced. The market-implied odds embed the wisdom of crowds assessing these atmospheric variables against historical September baselines. A modest shift in timing of maximum heating, local calibration at the station, or unexpected moisture influx could still produce a 30°C or 32°C reading before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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