Forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models show an expected daily maximum in the 24–26°C range for Mexico City on August 30, with afternoon convection and possible thunderstorms limiting surface heating. Historical August highs average near 23–24°C, but variable cloud cover, humidity near 50–60%, and southeasterly winds create uncertainty around whether peak readings reach or exceed 26°C before storms develop. Trader sentiment remains split between 25°C and 26°C-plus outcomes because official guidance spans this narrow band and real-time observations could shift with the timing of any rainfall or clearing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日墨西哥城的最高溫度?
25°C 47%
26°C或更高 46%
24°C 9%
23°C <1%
$6,076 交易量
$6,076 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
47%
26°C或更高
46%
25°C 47%
26°C或更高 46%
24°C 9%
23°C <1%
$6,076 交易量
$6,076 交易量
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
47%
26°C或更高
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models show an expected daily maximum in the 24–26°C range for Mexico City on August 30, with afternoon convection and possible thunderstorms limiting surface heating. Historical August highs average near 23–24°C, but variable cloud cover, humidity near 50–60%, and southeasterly winds create uncertainty around whether peak readings reach or exceed 26°C before storms develop. Trader sentiment remains split between 25°C and 26°C-plus outcomes because official guidance spans this narrow band and real-time observations could shift with the timing of any rainfall or clearing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions