Recent forecast model runs for Mexico City indicate a nighttime low near 10–12°C on August 30 amid the rainy season, with scattered showers and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Official guidance from sources such as SMN and international ensembles shows variability tied to exact timing of precipitation and local wind patterns, keeping the distribution of market-implied odds clustered tightly between 10°C and 14°C. Historical late-August climatology centers around 12°C, yet year-to-year fluctuations of several degrees remain common due to shifting moisture and frontal influences, sustaining balanced trader positioning ahead of final observational data from the primary reporting station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城8月30日的最低溫度?
13°C 28%
10°C 27%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C或更高
24%
13°C 28%
10°C 27%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
6°C或以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C或更高
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs for Mexico City indicate a nighttime low near 10–12°C on August 30 amid the rainy season, with scattered showers and moderate cloud cover limiting radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Official guidance from sources such as SMN and international ensembles shows variability tied to exact timing of precipitation and local wind patterns, keeping the distribution of market-implied odds clustered tightly between 10°C and 14°C. Historical late-August climatology centers around 12°C, yet year-to-year fluctuations of several degrees remain common due to shifting moisture and frontal influences, sustaining balanced trader positioning ahead of final observational data from the primary reporting station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions