Recent monsoon forecasts from the India Meteorological Department show active rainfall and increased cloud cover likely moderating peak temperatures in Lucknow on August 16, keeping daily maxima clustered around 30–32°C. Model consensus highlights the position of the monsoon trough and potential for scattered thundershowers as the dominant variables, with slight differences in timing and intensity creating the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C leading outcomes. Historical August baselines for the region average near 33°C under drier conditions, but current humidity and wind patterns support the market-implied clustering. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
31°C 38%
32°C 33%
33°C 17%
30°C 16%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
38%
32°C
33%
33°C
17%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 33%
33°C 17%
30°C 16%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
38%
32°C
33%
33°C
17%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon forecasts from the India Meteorological Department show active rainfall and increased cloud cover likely moderating peak temperatures in Lucknow on August 16, keeping daily maxima clustered around 30–32°C. Model consensus highlights the position of the monsoon trough and potential for scattered thundershowers as the dominant variables, with slight differences in timing and intensity creating the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C leading outcomes. Historical August baselines for the region average near 33°C under drier conditions, but current humidity and wind patterns support the market-implied clustering. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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