Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and regional models indicate a September 1 maximum near 37–38°C in Jeddah, consistent with the historical early-September average of about 36–38°C under typical northwest monsoon flow and clear skies. Ensemble spread in short-range guidance creates the near-even split between the 38°C and 39°C contracts, as modest differences in daytime heating, boundary-layer moisture, or wind speed can shift the peak by 1°C. With no significant synoptic features expected and precipitation probability near zero, the market reflects genuine uncertainty in the final observed high rather than divergent model signals. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月1日最高溫度?
38°C 36%
39°C 33%
37°C 18%
40°C 9%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
8%
37°C
18%
38°C
36%
39°C
33%
40°C
9%
41°C或更高
7%
38°C 36%
39°C 33%
37°C 18%
40°C 9%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
8%
37°C
18%
38°C
36%
39°C
33%
40°C
9%
41°C或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and regional models indicate a September 1 maximum near 37–38°C in Jeddah, consistent with the historical early-September average of about 36–38°C under typical northwest monsoon flow and clear skies. Ensemble spread in short-range guidance creates the near-even split between the 38°C and 39°C contracts, as modest differences in daytime heating, boundary-layer moisture, or wind speed can shift the peak by 1°C. With no significant synoptic features expected and precipitation probability near zero, the market reflects genuine uncertainty in the final observed high rather than divergent model signals. Updated runs ahead of the 48-hour window will likely tighten probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions