Forecast models and real-time observations from sources including the Saudi meteorological network align on a daily maximum of 38°C for Jeddah on August 30, driven by clear skies, light northwest winds, and typical late-summer high pressure that limits cloud cover and allows strong solar heating. This matches Jeddah’s August climatology of 36–38°C average highs, with current midday readings near 36–37°C and minimal precipitation risk supporting the market’s 99.8% implied probability for 38°C. Realistic challenges remain limited to minor forecast revisions from unexpected moisture influx or wind shifts that could cap the peak at 37°C or push it to 39°C, though model consensus shows low divergence for this timeframe.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月30日的最高溫度?
38°C 99.8%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$25,612 交易量
$25,612 交易量
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
100%
39°C
<1%
40°C或以上
<1%
38°C 99.8%
30°C或以下 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$25,612 交易量
$25,612 交易量
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
100%
39°C
<1%
40°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models and real-time observations from sources including the Saudi meteorological network align on a daily maximum of 38°C for Jeddah on August 30, driven by clear skies, light northwest winds, and typical late-summer high pressure that limits cloud cover and allows strong solar heating. This matches Jeddah’s August climatology of 36–38°C average highs, with current midday readings near 36–37°C and minimal precipitation risk supporting the market’s 99.8% implied probability for 38°C. Realistic challenges remain limited to minor forecast revisions from unexpected moisture influx or wind shifts that could cap the peak at 37°C or push it to 39°C, though model consensus shows low divergence for this timeframe.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions