Forecast models from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority and international sources project a typical late-August peak of 37–39°C in Jeddah on August 31, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and northwest winds averaging 5–8 m/s that limit extreme heat buildup while maintaining low precipitation chances near zero. Recent observations show daily maxima of 37–39°C under similar conditions, aligning closely with the 36–38°C August climatological average and supporting the market's emphasis on 38°C and 39°C outcomes. Minor model spread around afternoon peaks, combined with heat-index effects from 40–50% humidity, keeps modest probability on 40°C or higher, with traders weighting real-time observational data and short-term stability ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月31日的最高溫度?
39°C 41%
38°C 22%
40°C 22%
41°C或更高 9%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
7%
38°C
22%
39°C
41%
40°C
22%
41°C或更高
9%
39°C 41%
38°C 22%
40°C 22%
41°C或更高 9%
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
7%
38°C
22%
39°C
41%
40°C
22%
41°C或更高
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority and international sources project a typical late-August peak of 37–39°C in Jeddah on August 31, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and northwest winds averaging 5–8 m/s that limit extreme heat buildup while maintaining low precipitation chances near zero. Recent observations show daily maxima of 37–39°C under similar conditions, aligning closely with the 36–38°C August climatological average and supporting the market's emphasis on 38°C and 39°C outcomes. Minor model spread around afternoon peaks, combined with heat-index effects from 40–50% humidity, keeps modest probability on 40°C or higher, with traders weighting real-time observational data and short-term stability ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions