**Current National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 98°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies with patchy smoke, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 96-97°F (57%) as the leading outcome.** Persistent high pressure and downslope warming support upper-90s readings, yet wildfire smoke and a slight afternoon storm chance introduce modest cooling uncertainty that caps enthusiasm for 98-99°F (24.5%). Recent early-August heat (multiple 100°F+ days) provides climatological context, but model consensus and surface observations favor a slight cooldown today. Traders appear to price in the smoke's radiative effects and limited mixing, keeping 94-95°F (13%) as the main alternative while assigning negligible probability to extremes above 100°F or below 94°F. Updated afternoon observations and any revised NWS discussion could shift implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日丹佛的最高溫度？
8月6日丹佛的最高溫度？
96-97°F 57%
98-99°F 26%
94-95°F 13%
92-93°F 4%
最新
$15,176 交易量
最新
$15,176 交易量
2026-08-06
華氏87度或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
57%
98-99°F
26%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 57%
98-99°F 26%
94-95°F 13%
92-93°F 4%
最新
$15,176 交易量
最新
$15,176 交易量
2026-08-06
華氏87度或以下
$651 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$1,629 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$1,338 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$1,092 交易量
4%
94-95°F
$1,194 交易量
13%
96-97°F
$2,580 交易量
57%
98-99°F
$3,387 交易量
26%
100-101°F
$1,484 交易量
1%
102-103°F
$708 交易量
<1%
104-105°F
$662 交易量
<1%
106°F或更高
$451 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 98°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies with patchy smoke, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 96-97°F (57%) as the leading outcome.**
Persistent high pressure and downslope warming support upper-90s readings, yet wildfire smoke and a slight afternoon storm chance introduce modest cooling uncertainty that caps enthusiasm for 98-99°F (24.5%). Recent early-August heat (multiple 100°F+ days) provides climatological context, but model consensus and surface observations favor a slight cooldown today. Traders appear to price in the smoke's radiative effects and limited mixing, keeping 94-95°F (13%) as the main alternative while assigning negligible probability to extremes above 100°F or below 94°F. Updated afternoon observations and any revised NWS discussion could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$15,176結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 98°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies with patchy smoke, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 96-97°F (57%) as the leading outcome.**
Persistent high pressure and downslope warming support upper-90s readings, yet wildfire smoke and a slight afternoon storm chance introduce modest cooling uncertainty that caps enthusiasm for 98-99°F (24.5%). Recent early-August heat (multiple 100°F+ days) provides climatological context, but model consensus and surface observations favor a slight cooldown today. Traders appear to price in the smoke's radiative effects and limited mixing, keeping 94-95°F (13%) as the main alternative while assigning negligible probability to extremes above 100°F or below 94°F. Updated afternoon observations and any revised NWS discussion could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,176結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET**Current National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 98°F in Denver today under mostly sunny skies with patchy smoke, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 96-97°F (57%) as the leading outcome.** Persistent high pressure and downslope warming support upper-90s readings, yet wildfire smoke and a slight afternoon storm chance introduce modest cooling uncertainty that caps enthusiasm for 98-99°F (24.5%). Recent early-August heat (multiple 100°F+ days) provides climatological context, but model consensus and surface observations favor a slight cooldown today. Traders appear to price in the smoke's radiative effects and limited mixing, keeping 94-95°F (13%) as the main alternative while assigning negligible probability to extremes above 100°F or below 94°F. Updated afternoon observations and any revised NWS discussion could shift implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions