Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets project Dallas highs of 100–102°F on August 14 under sunny skies and southerly flow, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin. Persistent late-summer warmth, elevated soil moisture limiting nocturnal cooling, and a strong subtropical ridge are the dominant drivers, keeping daily maxima near or slightly above the August climatological mean of 96°F. Recent multi-day stretches above 100°F have reinforced trader expectations for another hot day, while limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts reduce odds of a significant downward revision. Resolution will hinge on the official Dallas-Fort Worth observation at the end of the calendar day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日達拉斯的最高溫度?
100-101°F 45%
98-99°F 32%
102-103°F 20%
104-105°F 6%
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
45%
102-103°F
20%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 45%
98-99°F 32%
102-103°F 20%
104-105°F 6%
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
45%
102-103°F
20%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major outlets project Dallas highs of 100–102°F on August 14 under sunny skies and southerly flow, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin. Persistent late-summer warmth, elevated soil moisture limiting nocturnal cooling, and a strong subtropical ridge are the dominant drivers, keeping daily maxima near or slightly above the August climatological mean of 96°F. Recent multi-day stretches above 100°F have reinforced trader expectations for another hot day, while limited model spread and absence of incoming fronts reduce odds of a significant downward revision. Resolution will hinge on the official Dallas-Fort Worth observation at the end of the calendar day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions