Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Chongqing's August 10 maximum near 34°C, aligning with the market's leading 27% implied probability for that outcome and nearby 33–36°C bins. Typical late-summer conditions feature a subtropical basin climate with average highs of 34–35°C, high humidity, and limited synoptic cooling. Key variables include daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, potential convective showers that could cap temperatures, and urban heat retention; clearer, drier subsidence would favor the 36°C tail while increased moisture or storms support the lower 33°C range. Short-range model spread remains modest two days out, consistent with the evenly distributed trader odds across mid-30s thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日重慶氣溫最高？
8月10日重慶氣溫最高？
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 27%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
10%
34°C
29%
35°C
27%
36°C
27%
37°C
6%
38°C或以上
2%
34°C 29%
35°C 27%
36°C 27%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
28°C or below
$12 交易量
1%
29°C
$12 交易量
2%
30°C
$12 交易量
3%
31°C
$42 交易量
3%
32°C
$0 交易量
9%
33°C
$12 交易量
10%
34°C
$20 交易量
29%
35°C
$0 交易量
27%
36°C
$127 交易量
27%
37°C
$15 交易量
6%
38°C或以上
$7 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Chongqing's August 10 maximum near 34°C, aligning with the market's leading 27% implied probability for that outcome and nearby 33–36°C bins. Typical late-summer conditions feature a subtropical basin climate with average highs of 34–35°C, high humidity, and limited synoptic cooling. Key variables include daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, potential convective showers that could cap temperatures, and urban heat retention; clearer, drier subsidence would favor the 36°C tail while increased moisture or storms support the lower 33°C range. Short-range model spread remains modest two days out, consistent with the evenly distributed trader odds across mid-30s thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$229結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from regional models place Chongqing's August 10 maximum near 34°C, aligning with the market's leading 27% implied probability for that outcome and nearby 33–36°C bins. Typical late-summer conditions feature a subtropical basin climate with average highs of 34–35°C, high humidity, and limited synoptic cooling. Key variables include daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, potential convective showers that could cap temperatures, and urban heat retention; clearer, drier subsidence would favor the 36°C tail while increased moisture or storms support the lower 33°C range. Short-range model spread remains modest two days out, consistent with the evenly distributed trader odds across mid-30s thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$229結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Chongqing's August 10 maximum near 34°C, aligning with the market's leading 27% implied probability for that outcome and nearby 33–36°C bins. Typical late-summer conditions feature a subtropical basin climate with average highs of 34–35°C, high humidity, and limited synoptic cooling. Key variables include daytime insolation under variable cloud cover, potential convective showers that could cap temperatures, and urban heat retention; clearer, drier subsidence would favor the 36°C tail while increased moisture or storms support the lower 33°C range. Short-range model spread remains modest two days out, consistent with the evenly distributed trader odds across mid-30s thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions