Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daytime high near 32–33°C in Ankara on August 9 under predominantly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (56.5%) and 31°C (29.5%), reflecting trader incorporation of ensemble means and recent stable summer conditions without significant heat advection or frontal passages. Historical August maxima average 30–32°C, providing baseline context, while minor model spread around 31–33°C explains the limited probability assigned to 34°C or higher. Final resolution will depend on official observations tomorrow evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日安卡拉的最高溫度?
32°C 56%
31°C 30%
33°C 14%
30°C 4%
$10,107 交易量
$10,107 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
30%
32°C
56%
33°C
14%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 30%
33°C 14%
30°C 4%
$10,107 交易量
$10,107 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
30%
32°C
56%
33°C
14%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daytime high near 32–33°C in Ankara on August 9 under predominantly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow. This consensus aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (56.5%) and 31°C (29.5%), reflecting trader incorporation of ensemble means and recent stable summer conditions without significant heat advection or frontal passages. Historical August maxima average 30–32°C, providing baseline context, while minor model spread around 31–33°C explains the limited probability assigned to 34°C or higher. Final resolution will depend on official observations tomorrow evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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