**Recent Canadian CPI prints have hovered near 3% year-over-year through mid-2026, driven primarily by elevated gasoline prices tied to the Middle East conflict, while measures excluding gasoline and core inflation have remained close to the Bank of Canada’s 2% target.** The BoC’s July Monetary Policy Report projected headline inflation easing to around 2.5% over the second half of 2026 as oil prices moderate along the futures curve and refinery margins narrow, with a return to target by early 2027. July data showed a 3.0% reading, slightly hotter than some expectations but consistent with the energy-driven pattern, and the central bank has held the policy rate steady at 2.25% while signaling it will look through transitory effects provided spillovers stay contained. Market-implied odds favoring the 2.5–2.9% annual outcome reflect trader consensus around this baseline path, tempered by upside risks from ongoing geopolitical tensions and potential U.S. tariff impacts on growth and prices. The next CPI release and October Monetary Policy Report will provide key updates on whether energy pressures broaden or dissipate as assumed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2.5–2.9% 36.1%
2.0–2.4% 23.6%
3.0-3.4% 18.4%
3.5-3.9% 14.6%
$40,810 交易量
$40,810 交易量
2027-01-17
低於1.0%
2%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
5%
2.0–2.4%
24%
2.5–2.9%
36%
3.0-3.4%
18%
3.5-3.9%
15%
4.0%以上
4%
2.5–2.9% 36.1%
2.0–2.4% 23.6%
3.0-3.4% 18.4%
3.5-3.9% 14.6%
$40,810 交易量
$40,810 交易量
2027-01-17
低於1.0%
$1,197 交易量
2%
1.0–1.4%
$5,465 交易量
5%
1.5–1.9%
$3,464 交易量
5%
2.0–2.4%
$2,009 交易量
24%
2.5–2.9%
$10,135 交易量
36%
3.0-3.4%
$14,031 交易量
18%
3.5-3.9%
$3,970 交易量
15%
4.0%以上
$539 交易量
4%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665**Recent Canadian CPI prints have hovered near 3% year-over-year through mid-2026, driven primarily by elevated gasoline prices tied to the Middle East conflict, while measures excluding gasoline and core inflation have remained close to the Bank of Canada’s 2% target.**
The BoC’s July Monetary Policy Report projected headline inflation easing to around 2.5% over the second half of 2026 as oil prices moderate along the futures curve and refinery margins narrow, with a return to target by early 2027. July data showed a 3.0% reading, slightly hotter than some expectations but consistent with the energy-driven pattern, and the central bank has held the policy rate steady at 2.25% while signaling it will look through transitory effects provided spillovers stay contained.
Market-implied odds favoring the 2.5–2.9% annual outcome reflect trader consensus around this baseline path, tempered by upside risks from ongoing geopolitical tensions and potential U.S. tariff impacts on growth and prices. The next CPI release and October Monetary Policy Report will provide key updates on whether energy pressures broaden or dissipate as assumed.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
市場開放時間： Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
交易量
$40,810結束日期
2027-01-18市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETThis is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665**Recent Canadian CPI prints have hovered near 3% year-over-year through mid-2026, driven primarily by elevated gasoline prices tied to the Middle East conflict, while measures excluding gasoline and core inflation have remained close to the Bank of Canada’s 2% target.**
The BoC’s July Monetary Policy Report projected headline inflation easing to around 2.5% over the second half of 2026 as oil prices moderate along the futures curve and refinery margins narrow, with a return to target by early 2027. July data showed a 3.0% reading, slightly hotter than some expectations but consistent with the energy-driven pattern, and the central bank has held the policy rate steady at 2.25% while signaling it will look through transitory effects provided spillovers stay contained.
Market-implied odds favoring the 2.5–2.9% annual outcome reflect trader consensus around this baseline path, tempered by upside risks from ongoing geopolitical tensions and potential U.S. tariff impacts on growth and prices. The next CPI release and October Monetary Policy Report will provide key updates on whether energy pressures broaden or dissipate as assumed.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
交易量
$40,810結束日期
2027-01-18市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET**Recent Canadian CPI prints have hovered near 3% year-over-year through mid-2026, driven primarily by elevated gasoline prices tied to the Middle East conflict, while measures excluding gasoline and core inflation have remained close to the Bank of Canada’s 2% target.** The BoC’s July Monetary Policy Report projected headline inflation easing to around 2.5% over the second half of 2026 as oil prices moderate along the futures curve and refinery margins narrow, with a return to target by early 2027. July data showed a 3.0% reading, slightly hotter than some expectations but consistent with the energy-driven pattern, and the central bank has held the policy rate steady at 2.25% while signaling it will look through transitory effects provided spillovers stay contained. Market-implied odds favoring the 2.5–2.9% annual outcome reflect trader consensus around this baseline path, tempered by upside risks from ongoing geopolitical tensions and potential U.S. tariff impacts on growth and prices. The next CPI release and October Monetary Policy Report will provide key updates on whether energy pressures broaden or dissipate as assumed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions