Trader sentiment on Argentina’s August monthly inflation centers on the 2.1% July MoM print, which edged above consensus and reflected seasonal winter-holiday pressures, yet reinforced the broader disinflation trend from 33.8% YoY. Analysts project a moderation to around 1.8% for August, supported by stable exchange-rate dynamics, fiscal restraint, and monetary policy under the current framework, with the 1.8-2.0% bucket commanding 50.5% implied probability and the 1.5-1.7% range at 30.4%. Market-implied odds price in continued progress toward the 29% end-2026 target, though upside risks from relative-price adjustments and seasonal factors keep the distribution concentrated near recent prints. The next INDEC release and any shifts in REM survey medians remain key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿根廷每月通脹- 8月
1.8-2.0% 50.0%
1.5-1.7% 30.4%
2.1-2.3% 22.5%
≤1.1% <1%
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
30%
1.8-2.0%
50%
2.1-2.3%
13%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
1.8-2.0% 50.0%
1.5-1.7% 30.4%
2.1-2.3% 22.5%
≤1.1% <1%
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
30%
1.8-2.0%
50%
2.1-2.3%
13%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Argentina’s August monthly inflation centers on the 2.1% July MoM print, which edged above consensus and reflected seasonal winter-holiday pressures, yet reinforced the broader disinflation trend from 33.8% YoY. Analysts project a moderation to around 1.8% for August, supported by stable exchange-rate dynamics, fiscal restraint, and monetary policy under the current framework, with the 1.8-2.0% bucket commanding 50.5% implied probability and the 1.5-1.7% range at 30.4%. Market-implied odds price in continued progress toward the 29% end-2026 target, though upside risks from relative-price adjustments and seasonal factors keep the distribution concentrated near recent prints. The next INDEC release and any shifts in REM survey medians remain key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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