Recent disinflation in Mexico, with headline inflation easing to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June—the lowest since 2020—has reinforced trader positioning toward the 3.50%-3.99% band for full-year 2026 average or end-period inflation. Banco de México's August hold at the 6.50% policy rate, alongside its unchanged 3.5% end-2026 forecast and delayed convergence to the 3% target until late 2027, underscores persistent but moderating pressures from core components near 3.9-4.0%. Global factors including U.S. trade policy uncertainty and commodity trends add upside risks, while incoming monthly CPI releases and Banxico communications will shape near-term revisions to these market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於3.50%至3.99% 39.9%
4.00%至4.49% 29%
4.50%到4.99% 8%
3.00% 至 3.49% 7.3%
$63,958 交易量
$63,958 交易量
2027-01-08
低於2.50%
1%
2.50%至2.99%
5%
3.00% 至 3.49%
7%
3.50%至3.99%
38%
4.00%至4.49%
29%
4.50%到4.99%
8%
5.00%至5.49%
4%
5.50% 以上
3%
3.50%至3.99% 39.9%
4.00%至4.49% 29%
4.50%到4.99% 8%
3.00% 至 3.49% 7.3%
$63,958 交易量
$63,958 交易量
2027-01-08
低於2.50%
$1,061 交易量
1%
2.50%至2.99%
$4,895 交易量
5%
3.00% 至 3.49%
$28,329 交易量
7%
3.50%至3.99%
$3,844 交易量
38%
4.00%至4.49%
$12,313 交易量
29%
4.50%到4.99%
$4,752 交易量
8%
5.00%至5.49%
$2,452 交易量
4%
5.50% 以上
$6,313 交易量
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent disinflation in Mexico, with headline inflation easing to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June—the lowest since 2020—has reinforced trader positioning toward the 3.50%-3.99% band for full-year 2026 average or end-period inflation. Banco de México's August hold at the 6.50% policy rate, alongside its unchanged 3.5% end-2026 forecast and delayed convergence to the 3% target until late 2027, underscores persistent but moderating pressures from core components near 3.9-4.0%. Global factors including U.S. trade policy uncertainty and commodity trends add upside risks, while incoming monthly CPI releases and Banxico communications will shape near-term revisions to these market-implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
市場開放時間： Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
交易量
$63,958結束日期
2027-01-08市場開放時間
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent disinflation in Mexico, with headline inflation easing to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June—the lowest since 2020—has reinforced trader positioning toward the 3.50%-3.99% band for full-year 2026 average or end-period inflation. Banco de México's August hold at the 6.50% policy rate, alongside its unchanged 3.5% end-2026 forecast and delayed convergence to the 3% target until late 2027, underscores persistent but moderating pressures from core components near 3.9-4.0%. Global factors including U.S. trade policy uncertainty and commodity trends add upside risks, while incoming monthly CPI releases and Banxico communications will shape near-term revisions to these market-implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
交易量
$63,958結束日期
2027-01-08市場開放時間
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent disinflation in Mexico, with headline inflation easing to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June—the lowest since 2020—has reinforced trader positioning toward the 3.50%-3.99% band for full-year 2026 average or end-period inflation. Banco de México's August hold at the 6.50% policy rate, alongside its unchanged 3.5% end-2026 forecast and delayed convergence to the 3% target until late 2027, underscores persistent but moderating pressures from core components near 3.9-4.0%. Global factors including U.S. trade policy uncertainty and commodity trends add upside risks, while incoming monthly CPI releases and Banxico communications will shape near-term revisions to these market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions