Recent July 2026 CPI data showed Argentina's year-over-year inflation at 33.8%, a modest sequential increase that reinforces the competitive split between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% bins holding 49.3% and 44.0% market-implied odds. Sustained fiscal balance, BCRA monetary discipline, and exchange-rate stability have driven sharp disinflation from prior peaks, yet monthly prints near 2.1% and relative-price adjustments introduce inertia that keeps the year-end outcome finely balanced. Analyst surveys place the median forecast around 29.8-31%, aligning with IMF and OECD projections, while upcoming INDEC releases and potential utility or fuel repricings remain key swing factors that could shift probabilities between the two leading ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於30.0-34.9% 49.3%
25-29.9% 44%
20-24.9% 2.1%
45%以上 1.9%
$41,193 交易量
$41,193 交易量
低於20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
44%
30.0-34.9%
49%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%以上
2%
30.0-34.9% 49.3%
25-29.9% 44%
20-24.9% 2.1%
45%以上 1.9%
$41,193 交易量
$41,193 交易量
低於20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
44%
30.0-34.9%
49%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%以上
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 CPI data showed Argentina's year-over-year inflation at 33.8%, a modest sequential increase that reinforces the competitive split between the 30.0-34.9% and 25-29.9% bins holding 49.3% and 44.0% market-implied odds. Sustained fiscal balance, BCRA monetary discipline, and exchange-rate stability have driven sharp disinflation from prior peaks, yet monthly prints near 2.1% and relative-price adjustments introduce inertia that keeps the year-end outcome finely balanced. Analyst surveys place the median forecast around 29.8-31%, aligning with IMF and OECD projections, while upcoming INDEC releases and potential utility or fuel repricings remain key swing factors that could shift probabilities between the two leading ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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警惕外部連結哦。
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