Argentina's 2026 inflation trajectory reflects ongoing disinflation under fiscal surplus and tight monetary policy, with July year-over-year CPI at 33.8% following 33.5% in June. Central bank surveys and IMF projections place full-year inflation near 29.8–30.4%, supported by exchange-rate stability, reserve accumulation, and subsidy reductions, though monthly momentum shows inertia and relative-price adjustments. Traders price the 30.0–34.9% band marginally ahead of 25–29.9% because recent data revisions and growth moderation at 2.7–3% keep the upper end of consensus alive while lower bands require faster core deceleration than observed. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly prints and any shifts in peso-band adjustments or external commodity pressures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於30.0-34.9% 49.4%
25-29.9% 44%
45%以上 1.9%
低於20% 1.8%
$41,193 交易量
$41,193 交易量
低於20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
44%
30.0-34.9%
49%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%以上
2%
30.0-34.9% 49.4%
25-29.9% 44%
45%以上 1.9%
低於20% 1.8%
$41,193 交易量
$41,193 交易量
低於20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
44%
30.0-34.9%
49%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%以上
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's 2026 inflation trajectory reflects ongoing disinflation under fiscal surplus and tight monetary policy, with July year-over-year CPI at 33.8% following 33.5% in June. Central bank surveys and IMF projections place full-year inflation near 29.8–30.4%, supported by exchange-rate stability, reserve accumulation, and subsidy reductions, though monthly momentum shows inertia and relative-price adjustments. Traders price the 30.0–34.9% band marginally ahead of 25–29.9% because recent data revisions and growth moderation at 2.7–3% keep the upper end of consensus alive while lower bands require faster core deceleration than observed. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly prints and any shifts in peso-band adjustments or external commodity pressures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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