**Forecast models converge on a nighttime minimum around 23–26°C for Wuhan on August 31, 2026, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 22–27°C.** Official guidance and ensemble outputs (including GFS, ECMWF, and regional models) show northerly to northeasterly flow advecting cooler, drier air behind a weakening trough or typhoon peripheral influence. This reduces daytime heating and limits radiative cooling overnight under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with scattered showers possible. Dew points in the low-to-mid 20s °C and moderate humidity support minimums near 24–25°C, while variable wind mixing (3–5 m/s) and cloud cover prevent deeper drops below ~22°C or spikes above 27°C. The narrow spread reflects genuine short-term uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing rather than model disagreement on the broader cooling trend. Newer model runs or updated satellite observations of cloud trends could shift the precise lowest hourly reading within this narrow range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
28°C 38%
25°C 27%
22°C 26%
23°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
38%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
25°C 27%
22°C 26%
23°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
21°C or below
$87 KL.
2%
22°C
$51 KL.
26%
23°C
$0 KL.
26%
24°C
$0 KL.
26%
25°C
$0 KL.
27%
26°C
$0 KL.
26%
27°C
$0 KL.
26%
28°C
$147 KL.
38%
29°C
$50 KL.
<1%
30°C
$55 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$93 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models converge on a nighttime minimum around 23–26°C for Wuhan on August 31, 2026, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 22–27°C.**
Official guidance and ensemble outputs (including GFS, ECMWF, and regional models) show northerly to northeasterly flow advecting cooler, drier air behind a weakening trough or typhoon peripheral influence. This reduces daytime heating and limits radiative cooling overnight under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with scattered showers possible. Dew points in the low-to-mid 20s °C and moderate humidity support minimums near 24–25°C, while variable wind mixing (3–5 m/s) and cloud cover prevent deeper drops below ~22°C or spikes above 27°C.
The narrow spread reflects genuine short-term uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing rather than model disagreement on the broader cooling trend. Newer model runs or updated satellite observations of cloud trends could shift the precise lowest hourly reading within this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$483Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models converge on a nighttime minimum around 23–26°C for Wuhan on August 31, 2026, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 22–27°C.**
Official guidance and ensemble outputs (including GFS, ECMWF, and regional models) show northerly to northeasterly flow advecting cooler, drier air behind a weakening trough or typhoon peripheral influence. This reduces daytime heating and limits radiative cooling overnight under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with scattered showers possible. Dew points in the low-to-mid 20s °C and moderate humidity support minimums near 24–25°C, while variable wind mixing (3–5 m/s) and cloud cover prevent deeper drops below ~22°C or spikes above 27°C.
The narrow spread reflects genuine short-term uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing rather than model disagreement on the broader cooling trend. Newer model runs or updated satellite observations of cloud trends could shift the precise lowest hourly reading within this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$483Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models converge on a nighttime minimum around 23–26°C for Wuhan on August 31, 2026, creating the tight clustering of market-implied odds across 22–27°C.** Official guidance and ensemble outputs (including GFS, ECMWF, and regional models) show northerly to northeasterly flow advecting cooler, drier air behind a weakening trough or typhoon peripheral influence. This reduces daytime heating and limits radiative cooling overnight under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with scattered showers possible. Dew points in the low-to-mid 20s °C and moderate humidity support minimums near 24–25°C, while variable wind mixing (3–5 m/s) and cloud cover prevent deeper drops below ~22°C or spikes above 27°C. The narrow spread reflects genuine short-term uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing rather than model disagreement on the broader cooling trend. Newer model runs or updated satellite observations of cloud trends could shift the precise lowest hourly reading within this narrow range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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