Recent numerical weather prediction runs show central China under stable high pressure with light winds and moderate humidity, producing trader consensus around a 22–24°C minimum for Wuhan on September 1. Ensemble spreads from CMA and ECMWF models cluster in this narrow band due to limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology for the region centers near 23°C, underscoring why outcomes at 20°C and 25°C carry slightly lower implied probabilities. Fresh model updates expected within 24 hours will likely tighten or widen these ranges ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 1?
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
20°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
4%
19°C
8%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
20°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
$250 KL.
4%
19°C
$0 KL.
8%
20°C
$0 KL.
26%
21°C
$0 KL.
26%
22°C
$0 KL.
27%
23°C
$0 KL.
27%
24°C
$0 KL.
27%
25°C
$0 KL.
26%
26°C
$0 KL.
2%
27°C
$0 KL.
1%
28°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs show central China under stable high pressure with light winds and moderate humidity, producing trader consensus around a 22–24°C minimum for Wuhan on September 1. Ensemble spreads from CMA and ECMWF models cluster in this narrow band due to limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology for the region centers near 23°C, underscoring why outcomes at 20°C and 25°C carry slightly lower implied probabilities. Fresh model updates expected within 24 hours will likely tighten or widen these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$250Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs show central China under stable high pressure with light winds and moderate humidity, producing trader consensus around a 22–24°C minimum for Wuhan on September 1. Ensemble spreads from CMA and ECMWF models cluster in this narrow band due to limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology for the region centers near 23°C, underscoring why outcomes at 20°C and 25°C carry slightly lower implied probabilities. Fresh model updates expected within 24 hours will likely tighten or widen these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$250Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs show central China under stable high pressure with light winds and moderate humidity, producing trader consensus around a 22–24°C minimum for Wuhan on September 1. Ensemble spreads from CMA and ECMWF models cluster in this narrow band due to limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, while small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September climatology for the region centers near 23°C, underscoring why outcomes at 20°C and 25°C carry slightly lower implied probabilities. Fresh model updates expected within 24 hours will likely tighten or widen these ranges ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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