**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 34°C high for Wuhan on August 31, 2026, with near-100% implied probability on that outcome.** Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services, incorporating the influence of a typhoon outer circulation bringing clouds and scattered rain, still project afternoon peaks reaching this threshold before cooling sets in. Model runs have consistently shown maximum temperatures near 31–34°C amid northeasterly flow and moderate humidity, aligning with historical late-August climatology for the region while accounting for the day's specific steering patterns and limited insolation. Official observations through the afternoon support this positioning, though full daily resolution depends on the precise peak recorded by authorized stations. A shift in verified maximum below 34°C—possible if persistent cloud cover or earlier rainfall suppresses temperatures more than anticipated—remains the primary scenario that could alter market-implied odds before settlement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$58,996 KL.
$58,996 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$58,996 KL.
$58,996 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
27°C or below
$371 KL.
No
28°C
$930 KL.
No
29°C
$1,703 KL.
No
30°C
$1,654 KL.
No
31°C
$3,518 KL.
No
32°C
$37,380 KL.
No
33°C
$4,722 KL.
No
34°C
$3,832 KL.
Yes
35°C
$3,632 KL.
No
36°C
$886 KL.
No
37°C or higher
$368 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 34°C high for Wuhan on August 31, 2026, with near-100% implied probability on that outcome.** Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services, incorporating the influence of a typhoon outer circulation bringing clouds and scattered rain, still project afternoon peaks reaching this threshold before cooling sets in. Model runs have consistently shown maximum temperatures near 31–34°C amid northeasterly flow and moderate humidity, aligning with historical late-August climatology for the region while accounting for the day's specific steering patterns and limited insolation. Official observations through the afternoon support this positioning, though full daily resolution depends on the precise peak recorded by authorized stations. A shift in verified maximum below 34°C—possible if persistent cloud cover or earlier rainfall suppresses temperatures more than anticipated—remains the primary scenario that could alter market-implied odds before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$58,996Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 34°C high for Wuhan on August 31, 2026, with near-100% implied probability on that outcome.** Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services, incorporating the influence of a typhoon outer circulation bringing clouds and scattered rain, still project afternoon peaks reaching this threshold before cooling sets in. Model runs have consistently shown maximum temperatures near 31–34°C amid northeasterly flow and moderate humidity, aligning with historical late-August climatology for the region while accounting for the day's specific steering patterns and limited insolation. Official observations through the afternoon support this positioning, though full daily resolution depends on the precise peak recorded by authorized stations. A shift in verified maximum below 34°C—possible if persistent cloud cover or earlier rainfall suppresses temperatures more than anticipated—remains the primary scenario that could alter market-implied odds before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$58,996Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 34°C high for Wuhan on August 31, 2026, with near-100% implied probability on that outcome.** Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services, incorporating the influence of a typhoon outer circulation bringing clouds and scattered rain, still project afternoon peaks reaching this threshold before cooling sets in. Model runs have consistently shown maximum temperatures near 31–34°C amid northeasterly flow and moderate humidity, aligning with historical late-August climatology for the region while accounting for the day's specific steering patterns and limited insolation. Official observations through the afternoon support this positioning, though full daily resolution depends on the precise peak recorded by authorized stations. A shift in verified maximum below 34°C—possible if persistent cloud cover or earlier rainfall suppresses temperatures more than anticipated—remains the primary scenario that could alter market-implied odds before settlement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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