Current forecasts for Hong Kong on August 9 point to a daily minimum near 28°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with August climatology of 26–29°C overnight lows under typical subtropical high humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August–October indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with no major cool-air intrusions or typhoon passages expected in the immediate window that would drop readings to 26°C or below. Cloud cover and scattered showers, common in the season, remain key variables that could suppress the minimum toward 27°C or allow slight warming to 29–30°C depending on timing and urban heat retention. Model spread and short-range forecast updates introduce the observed market dispersion across 27–30°C bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
28°C 35%
29°C 24%
27°C 19%
30°C 16%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
19%
28°C
35%
29°C
24%
30°C
16%
31°C
8%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 35%
29°C 24%
27°C 19%
30°C 16%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
19%
28°C
35%
29°C
24%
30°C
16%
31°C
8%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Hong Kong on August 9 point to a daily minimum near 28°C as the most probable outcome, consistent with August climatology of 26–29°C overnight lows under typical subtropical high humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August–October indicates normal to above-normal temperatures overall, with no major cool-air intrusions or typhoon passages expected in the immediate window that would drop readings to 26°C or below. Cloud cover and scattered showers, common in the season, remain key variables that could suppress the minimum toward 27°C or allow slight warming to 29–30°C depending on timing and urban heat retention. Model spread and short-range forecast updates introduce the observed market dispersion across 27–30°C bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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