Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Istanbul's August 9 maximum will likely peak near 27–28°C, driven by moderate northerly flows off the Black Sea and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover. These conditions temper the typical summer peak, where historical August averages reach 28–30°C amid stronger southerly advection and urban heat effects. The Bosphorus sea breeze further modulates local readings, creating narrow differentiation between adjacent thresholds. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh subtle shifts in humidity and wind patterns that could push the official measurement—sourced from central stations—toward 29°C or hold it at 27°C. Updated model runs and observational data releases over the next day will likely refine this tight consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 9?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 9?
27°C 43%
28°C 36%
29°C 12%
26°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
43%
28°C
36%
29°C
12%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 43%
28°C 36%
29°C 12%
26°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
23°C or below
$22 KL.
1%
24°C
$18 KL.
1%
25°C
$25 KL.
3%
26°C
$8 KL.
10%
27°C
$1,643 KL.
43%
28°C
$35 KL.
36%
29°C
$23 KL.
12%
30°C
$24 KL.
2%
31°C
$26 KL.
2%
32°C
$5 KL.
2%
33°C or higher
$16 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Istanbul's August 9 maximum will likely peak near 27–28°C, driven by moderate northerly flows off the Black Sea and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover. These conditions temper the typical summer peak, where historical August averages reach 28–30°C amid stronger southerly advection and urban heat effects. The Bosphorus sea breeze further modulates local readings, creating narrow differentiation between adjacent thresholds. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh subtle shifts in humidity and wind patterns that could push the official measurement—sourced from central stations—toward 29°C or hold it at 27°C. Updated model runs and observational data releases over the next day will likely refine this tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,790Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Istanbul's August 9 maximum will likely peak near 27–28°C, driven by moderate northerly flows off the Black Sea and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover. These conditions temper the typical summer peak, where historical August averages reach 28–30°C amid stronger southerly advection and urban heat effects. The Bosphorus sea breeze further modulates local readings, creating narrow differentiation between adjacent thresholds. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh subtle shifts in humidity and wind patterns that could push the official measurement—sourced from central stations—toward 29°C or hold it at 27°C. Updated model runs and observational data releases over the next day will likely refine this tight consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,790Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Istanbul's August 9 maximum will likely peak near 27–28°C, driven by moderate northerly flows off the Black Sea and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover. These conditions temper the typical summer peak, where historical August averages reach 28–30°C amid stronger southerly advection and urban heat effects. The Bosphorus sea breeze further modulates local readings, creating narrow differentiation between adjacent thresholds. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh subtle shifts in humidity and wind patterns that could push the official measurement—sourced from central stations—toward 29°C or hold it at 27°C. Updated model runs and observational data releases over the next day will likely refine this tight consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp