Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional models point to a peak of 38°C in Madrid on August 7, supporting the slim market edge for that outcome over 39°C. High-pressure dominance, clear skies, and dry continental air typical of midsummer favor strong daytime heating, yet minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could tip the daily maximum either way. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical August extremes rarely exceeding 40°C absent heatwave amplification. Traders weigh the narrow gap between the two leading bins against resolution on official AEMET readings, as fresh model runs and any late adjustments in steering flow remain the key variables.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
39°C 49%
38°C 46%
37°C 6%
40°C 3%
MỚI
$12,374 KL.
MỚI
$12,374 KL.
Aug 7, 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
6%
38°C
46%
39°C
49%
40°C
3%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 49%
38°C 46%
37°C 6%
40°C 3%
MỚI
$12,374 KL.
MỚI
$12,374 KL.
Aug 7, 2026
35°C or below
$529 KL.
<1%
36°C
$423 KL.
<1%
37°C
$2,252 KL.
6%
38°C
$3,501 KL.
46%
39°C
$2,750 KL.
49%
40°C
$752 KL.
3%
41°C
$647 KL.
<1%
42°C
$481 KL.
<1%
43°C
$410 KL.
<1%
44°C
$231 KL.
<1%
45°C or higher
$397 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional models point to a peak of 38°C in Madrid on August 7, supporting the slim market edge for that outcome over 39°C. High-pressure dominance, clear skies, and dry continental air typical of midsummer favor strong daytime heating, yet minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could tip the daily maximum either way. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical August extremes rarely exceeding 40°C absent heatwave amplification. Traders weigh the narrow gap between the two leading bins against resolution on official AEMET readings, as fresh model runs and any late adjustments in steering flow remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,374Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional models point to a peak of 38°C in Madrid on August 7, supporting the slim market edge for that outcome over 39°C. High-pressure dominance, clear skies, and dry continental air typical of midsummer favor strong daytime heating, yet minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could tip the daily maximum either way. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical August extremes rarely exceeding 40°C absent heatwave amplification. Traders weigh the narrow gap between the two leading bins against resolution on official AEMET readings, as fresh model runs and any late adjustments in steering flow remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,374Ngày kết thúc
Aug 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and regional models point to a peak of 38°C in Madrid on August 7, supporting the slim market edge for that outcome over 39°C. High-pressure dominance, clear skies, and dry continental air typical of midsummer favor strong daytime heating, yet minor shifts in wind or cloud cover could tip the daily maximum either way. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with historical August extremes rarely exceeding 40°C absent heatwave amplification. Traders weigh the narrow gap between the two leading bins against resolution on official AEMET readings, as fresh model runs and any late adjustments in steering flow remain the key variables.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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