Current short-term forecasts from European models indicate Munich highs on August 6 likely peaking near 28–29 °C under building high pressure and warm southerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these thresholds. Key uncertainties stem from variable convective cloud cover and potential late-day thunderstorms, which could cap daytime maxima by several degrees or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 23–25 °C, so any departure reflects anomalous warmth; traders weigh the latest DWD and ECMWF runs, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of instability determine whether readings clear 29 °C or settle lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on August 6?
28°C 34%
29°C or higher 27%
27°C 23%
26°C 15%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
15%
27°C
23%
28°C
34%
29°C or higher
27%
28°C 34%
29°C or higher 27%
27°C 23%
26°C 15%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
15%
27°C
23%
28°C
34%
29°C or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from European models indicate Munich highs on August 6 likely peaking near 28–29 °C under building high pressure and warm southerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these thresholds. Key uncertainties stem from variable convective cloud cover and potential late-day thunderstorms, which could cap daytime maxima by several degrees or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation. Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 23–25 °C, so any departure reflects anomalous warmth; traders weigh the latest DWD and ECMWF runs, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of instability determine whether readings clear 29 °C or settle lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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