Recent Met Office regional guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm but not extreme pattern for London on August 4, with southerly flow and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions before increasing humidity and shower risk. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those thresholds, reflecting 2026’s broader above-average summer temperatures and multiple prior heat periods that have elevated baseline warmth by roughly 2–3°C across southern England. Official measurements at London-area sites incorporate the urban heat island effect, while forecast uncertainty centers on exact cloud cover and any Atlantic frontal timing that could cap peaks below 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for refinements ahead of the Tuesday resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 4?
Highest temperature in London on August 4?
29°C 39%
28°C 30%
27°C 20%
30°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
30%
29°C
39%
30°C
11%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 39%
28°C 30%
27°C 20%
30°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
25°C or below
$181 KL.
1%
26°C
$147 KL.
4%
27°C
$229 KL.
20%
28°C
$231 KL.
30%
29°C
$698 KL.
39%
30°C
$111 KL.
11%
31°C
$111 KL.
5%
32°C
$32 KL.
1%
33°C
$131 KL.
<1%
34°C
$121 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$143 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office regional guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm but not extreme pattern for London on August 4, with southerly flow and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions before increasing humidity and shower risk. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those thresholds, reflecting 2026’s broader above-average summer temperatures and multiple prior heat periods that have elevated baseline warmth by roughly 2–3°C across southern England. Official measurements at London-area sites incorporate the urban heat island effect, while forecast uncertainty centers on exact cloud cover and any Atlantic frontal timing that could cap peaks below 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for refinements ahead of the Tuesday resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,136Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office regional guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm but not extreme pattern for London on August 4, with southerly flow and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions before increasing humidity and shower risk. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those thresholds, reflecting 2026’s broader above-average summer temperatures and multiple prior heat periods that have elevated baseline warmth by roughly 2–3°C across southern England. Official measurements at London-area sites incorporate the urban heat island effect, while forecast uncertainty centers on exact cloud cover and any Atlantic frontal timing that could cap peaks below 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for refinements ahead of the Tuesday resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,136Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office regional guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm but not extreme pattern for London on August 4, with southerly flow and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions before increasing humidity and shower risk. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those thresholds, reflecting 2026’s broader above-average summer temperatures and multiple prior heat periods that have elevated baseline warmth by roughly 2–3°C across southern England. Official measurements at London-area sites incorporate the urban heat island effect, while forecast uncertainty centers on exact cloud cover and any Atlantic frontal timing that could cap peaks below 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for refinements ahead of the Tuesday resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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