Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting sustains elevated humidity and heat retention in early August, when climatological highs average 37–38°C but frequently exceed 40°C amid regional heat. Official Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance and recent model runs indicate temperatures 1–2°C above normal across the Kingdom, supporting the 42% market-implied probability for 40°C or higher on August 4. Shorter-range forecasts cluster near 36–38°C under typical clear, low-wind conditions, aligning with the combined 48.5% odds on 38–39°C outcomes. Traders weigh these baseline patterns against potential short-term intensification from persistent high pressure, with resolution depending on the official maximum reported by local meteorological stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 4?
40°C or higher 43%
39°C 27%
38°C 22%
37°C 9%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
5%
37°C
9%
38°C
22%
39°C
27%
40°C or higher
43%
40°C or higher 43%
39°C 27%
38°C 22%
37°C 9%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
5%
37°C
9%
38°C
22%
39°C
27%
40°C or higher
43%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting sustains elevated humidity and heat retention in early August, when climatological highs average 37–38°C but frequently exceed 40°C amid regional heat. Official Saudi National Center for Meteorology guidance and recent model runs indicate temperatures 1–2°C above normal across the Kingdom, supporting the 42% market-implied probability for 40°C or higher on August 4. Shorter-range forecasts cluster near 36–38°C under typical clear, low-wind conditions, aligning with the combined 48.5% odds on 38–39°C outcomes. Traders weigh these baseline patterns against potential short-term intensification from persistent high pressure, with resolution depending on the official maximum reported by local meteorological stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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