Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime highs of 30–32°C in coastal Qingdao on August 4, moderated by sea breezes and possible marine layer clouds, yet with sufficient spread in ensemble runs to support warmer outcomes if ridging strengthens or skies clear. This uncertainty, combined with early-August climatology showing occasional peaks near 34–35°C amid high humidity, underpins the market’s emphasis on 34°C (35.5%) and 35°C (22.5%) while assigning notable implied probability (21.5%) to 36°C or higher. Updated forecasts through the next 48 hours and any revised guidance on steering patterns will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 4?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 4?
34°C 37%
35°C 26%
33°C 20%
36°C or higher 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
20%
34°C
37%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
19%
34°C 37%
35°C 26%
33°C 20%
36°C or higher 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
26°C or below
$353 KL.
<1%
27°C
$443 KL.
<1%
28°C
$433 KL.
<1%
29°C
$42 KL.
<1%
30°C
$27 KL.
1%
31°C
$33 KL.
1%
32°C
$34 KL.
6%
33°C
$4 KL.
20%
34°C
$86 KL.
37%
35°C
$24 KL.
26%
36°C or higher
$621 KL.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime highs of 30–32°C in coastal Qingdao on August 4, moderated by sea breezes and possible marine layer clouds, yet with sufficient spread in ensemble runs to support warmer outcomes if ridging strengthens or skies clear. This uncertainty, combined with early-August climatology showing occasional peaks near 34–35°C amid high humidity, underpins the market’s emphasis on 34°C (35.5%) and 35°C (22.5%) while assigning notable implied probability (21.5%) to 36°C or higher. Updated forecasts through the next 48 hours and any revised guidance on steering patterns will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,100Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime highs of 30–32°C in coastal Qingdao on August 4, moderated by sea breezes and possible marine layer clouds, yet with sufficient spread in ensemble runs to support warmer outcomes if ridging strengthens or skies clear. This uncertainty, combined with early-August climatology showing occasional peaks near 34–35°C amid high humidity, underpins the market’s emphasis on 34°C (35.5%) and 35°C (22.5%) while assigning notable implied probability (21.5%) to 36°C or higher. Updated forecasts through the next 48 hours and any revised guidance on steering patterns will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,100Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime highs of 30–32°C in coastal Qingdao on August 4, moderated by sea breezes and possible marine layer clouds, yet with sufficient spread in ensemble runs to support warmer outcomes if ridging strengthens or skies clear. This uncertainty, combined with early-August climatology showing occasional peaks near 34–35°C amid high humidity, underpins the market’s emphasis on 34°C (35.5%) and 35°C (22.5%) while assigning notable implied probability (21.5%) to 36°C or higher. Updated forecasts through the next 48 hours and any revised guidance on steering patterns will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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