Recent model guidance and observational trends point to a warm air mass influencing eastern China, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily high of 35–37 °C in Qingdao on August 2. Sea surface temperatures near 28 °C and light southerly flow limit marine cooling while enhancing sensible heating over land; combined with low cloud cover and modest subsidence, these factors elevate maximum temperatures several degrees above the 29–31 °C August climatology. Ensemble spread remains notable around the 34–36 °C threshold, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any onshore breeze or convective development. Updated runs from regional models and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected later today will likely refine the outcome distribution before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 2?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 2?
36°C 40%
35°C 31%
37°C 24%
38°C or higher 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
31%
36°C
40%
37°C
24%
38°C or higher
8%
36°C 40%
35°C 31%
37°C 24%
38°C or higher 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
$408 KL.
<1%
29°C
$423 KL.
<1%
30°C
$446 KL.
<1%
31°C
$326 KL.
1%
32°C
$264 KL.
1%
33°C
$689 KL.
1%
34°C
$505 KL.
5%
35°C
$415 KL.
31%
36°C
$303 KL.
40%
37°C
$761 KL.
24%
38°C or higher
$513 KL.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and observational trends point to a warm air mass influencing eastern China, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily high of 35–37 °C in Qingdao on August 2. Sea surface temperatures near 28 °C and light southerly flow limit marine cooling while enhancing sensible heating over land; combined with low cloud cover and modest subsidence, these factors elevate maximum temperatures several degrees above the 29–31 °C August climatology. Ensemble spread remains notable around the 34–36 °C threshold, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any onshore breeze or convective development. Updated runs from regional models and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected later today will likely refine the outcome distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,052Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and observational trends point to a warm air mass influencing eastern China, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily high of 35–37 °C in Qingdao on August 2. Sea surface temperatures near 28 °C and light southerly flow limit marine cooling while enhancing sensible heating over land; combined with low cloud cover and modest subsidence, these factors elevate maximum temperatures several degrees above the 29–31 °C August climatology. Ensemble spread remains notable around the 34–36 °C threshold, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any onshore breeze or convective development. Updated runs from regional models and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected later today will likely refine the outcome distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,052Ngày kết thúc
Aug 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance and observational trends point to a warm air mass influencing eastern China, supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily high of 35–37 °C in Qingdao on August 2. Sea surface temperatures near 28 °C and light southerly flow limit marine cooling while enhancing sensible heating over land; combined with low cloud cover and modest subsidence, these factors elevate maximum temperatures several degrees above the 29–31 °C August climatology. Ensemble spread remains notable around the 34–36 °C threshold, reflecting sensitivity to exact timing of any onshore breeze or convective development. Updated runs from regional models and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected later today will likely refine the outcome distribution before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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