Recent forecast guidance from European models, including consensus runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, positions maximum temperatures in Munich on August 5 near 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure and warm southwesterly flow. This range aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33 °C (41.5 %), 34 °C (25.5 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %). Current observational trends show daytime highs already reaching the low 30s °C in southern Bavaria, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could favor the lower end of the distribution if boundary-layer mixing strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on August 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 5?
33°C 42%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
42%
34°C
27%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
34°C 27%
32°C 22%
35°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$138 KL.
1%
31°C
$327 KL.
5%
32°C
$376 KL.
22%
33°C
$327 KL.
42%
34°C
$304 KL.
27%
35°C
$477 KL.
9%
36°C
$207 KL.
2%
37°C
$351 KL.
2%
38°C
$112 KL.
<1%
39°C
$136 KL.
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models, including consensus runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, positions maximum temperatures in Munich on August 5 near 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure and warm southwesterly flow. This range aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33 °C (41.5 %), 34 °C (25.5 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %). Current observational trends show daytime highs already reaching the low 30s °C in southern Bavaria, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could favor the lower end of the distribution if boundary-layer mixing strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,108Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models, including consensus runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, positions maximum temperatures in Munich on August 5 near 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure and warm southwesterly flow. This range aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33 °C (41.5 %), 34 °C (25.5 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %). Current observational trends show daytime highs already reaching the low 30s °C in southern Bavaria, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could favor the lower end of the distribution if boundary-layer mixing strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,108Ngày kết thúc
Aug 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models, including consensus runs from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, positions maximum temperatures in Munich on August 5 near 32–34 °C under persistent high pressure and warm southwesterly flow. This range aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 33 °C (41.5 %), 34 °C (25.5 %), and 32 °C (21.5 %). Current observational trends show daytime highs already reaching the low 30s °C in southern Bavaria, with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation expected to support further warming. Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight downward revisions in some guidance could favor the lower end of the distribution if boundary-layer mixing strengthens overnight. Updated model runs and DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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